La Liga 2026-27

Updated 12 Nov, 08:49 UTC

Results up to 8 Nov

Note

Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.

Table and chances

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

ShortFull

Chance shown

La Liga table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Top 5	Top half	Down
1, Win the title	Barcelona (your team)	12	11	0	1	48	13	+35	33	94	86–101	75%	>99%	>99%	>99%	<1%
2, Top four	Real Madrid (your team)	12	10	0	2	31	10	+21	30	87	78–95	23%	>99%	>99%	>99%	<1%
3, Top four	Atlético Madrid (your team)	12	9	1	2	23	10	+13	28	77	68–86	2%	95%	99%	>99%	<1%
4, Top four	Real Betis (your team)	12	8	2	2	20	15	+5	26	68	58–77	<1%	64%	83%	>99%	<1%
5, Top five	Real Sociedad (your team)	12	7	1	4	21	20	+1	22	58	49–68	<1%	13%	35%	92%	<1%
6	Sevilla (your team)	12	5	3	4	17	19	−2	18	52	42–61	<1%	3%	11%	68%	2%
7	Athletic Bilbao (your team)	11	4	4	3	15	11	+4	16	56	46–65	<1%	9%	24%	84%	1%
8	Deportivo La Coruña (your team)	12	3	6	3	15	14	+1	15	43	33–53	<1%	<1%	2%	25%	18%
9	Villarreal (your team)	12	4	3	5	17	15	+2	15	58	48–67	<1%	13%	35%	90%	<1%
10	Racing Santander (your team)	12	4	2	6	17	30	−13	14	37	28–47	<1%	<1%	<1%	9%	45%
11	Celta Vigo (your team)	12	2	7	3	10	10	0	13	47	38–56	<1%	1%	3%	41%	6%
12	Alavés (your team)	12	3	4	5	15	17	−2	13	44	35–54	<1%	<1%	2%	30%	13%
13	Rayo Vallecano (your team)	11	3	3	5	15	21	−6	12	46	36–56	<1%	1%	3%	37%	9%
14	Osasuna (your team)	12	3	3	6	12	23	−11	12	42	33–51	<1%	<1%	1%	19%	21%
15	Espanyol (your team)	12	3	3	6	13	14	−1	12	43	34–52	<1%	<1%	1%	23%	16%
16	Getafe (your team)	12	3	3	6	8	18	−10	12	41	32–50	<1%	<1%	1%	16%	22%
17	Levante (your team)	12	2	5	5	16	21	−5	11	44	35–54	<1%	<1%	2%	31%	14%
18, Relegation to Segunda División	Elche (your team)	12	2	4	6	14	20	−6	10	43	33–52	<1%	<1%	1%	24%	20%
19, Relegation to Segunda División	Valencia (your team)	12	2	3	7	8	20	−12	9	40	31–50	<1%	<1%	<1%	14%	26%
20, Relegation to Segunda División	Málaga (your team)	12	0	5	7	9	23	−14	5	27	18–37	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	87%

Win the title
Top four
Top five
Relegation to Segunda División
Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Fri 20 November

Athletic Bilbao20:00Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao win 53%Draw 27%Espanyol win 20%

Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.5–0.8

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sat 21 November

Alavés13:00Deportivo La Coruña

Alavés win 48%Draw 28%Deportivo La Coruña win 24%

Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Rayo Vallecano15:15Valencia

Rayo Vallecano win 45%Draw 29%Valencia win 26%

Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–0.9

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sevilla17:30Real Betis

Sevilla win 35%Draw 26%Real Betis win 39%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Real Madrid20:00Celta Vigo

Real Madrid win 72%Draw 18%Celta Vigo win 10%

Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.3–0.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sun 22 November

Barcelona13:00Villarreal

Barcelona win 74%Draw 15%Villarreal win 11%

Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 3.0–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Racing Santander15:15Real Sociedad

Racing Santander win 29%Draw 23%Real Sociedad win 48%

Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.4–1.9

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Osasuna17:30Málaga

Osasuna win 57%Draw 24%Málaga win 19%

Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Getafe20:00Atlético Madrid

Getafe win 21%Draw 31%Atlético Madrid win 48%

Most likely 0–1 (17%)Expected goals 0.7–1.3

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Mon 23 November

Levante20:00Elche

Levante win 47%Draw 25%Elche win 28%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

La Liga: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Barcelona (your team)	75	22	3
Real Madrid (your team)	23	60	15	1
Atlético Madrid (your team)	2	15	62	16	3	1
Real Betis (your team)		2	15	47	19	9	4	2	1	1
Real Sociedad (your team)			2	11	22	20	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	1
Villarreal (your team)			2	11	21	19	14	10	7	5	4	2	2	1	1
Athletic Bilbao (your team)			1	8	15	17	15	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	1
Sevilla (your team)				3	8	10	13	13	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	3	2	1
Celta Vigo (your team)				1	2	5	7	8	9	10	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1
Rayo Vallecano (your team)				1	2	4	6	7	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	3	1
Alavés (your team)					1	2	4	6	7	8	10	8	9	8	8	8	7	7	4	2
Levante (your team)					1	3	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	7	7	7	6	2
Espanyol (your team)					1	2	3	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	8	6	2
Deportivo La Coruña (your team)					1	2	4	5	5	7	7	8	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	3
Elche (your team)					1	2	3	5	6	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	9	9	8	3
Osasuna (your team)						1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	9	10	10	10	8	4
Getafe (your team)					1	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	3
Valencia (your team)						1	1	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	10	11	11	10	5
Racing Santander (your team)						1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	8	9	11	14	21	10
Málaga (your team)											1	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	15	65

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Barcelona	Real Madrid
12 Nov	8 Nov	75%	23%
8 Nov	7 Nov	66%	28%
7 Nov	6 Nov	71%	23%
6 Nov	2 Nov	70%	24%
2 Nov	1 Nov	70%	24%
1 Nov	31 Oct	72%	21%
31 Oct	30 Oct	70%	24%
30 Oct	26 Oct	72%	23%
26 Oct	25 Oct	71%	23%
25 Oct	24 Oct	83%	12%
24 Oct	23 Oct	84%	12%
23 Oct	21 Oct	83%	13%
21 Oct	19 Oct	84%	12%
19 Oct	18 Oct	83%	12%
18 Oct	17 Oct	85%	11%
17 Oct	16 Oct	81%	14%
16 Oct	12 Oct	81%	14%
12 Oct	11 Oct	81%	15%
11 Oct	10 Oct	82%	14%
10 Oct	9 Oct	81%	14%
9 Oct	20 Sept	81%	14%

Relegation chances (18th–20th)

Chance of finishing 18th–20th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Relegation chances (18th–20th), after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Málaga	Racing Santander	Valencia	Getafe	Deportivo La Coruña	Espanyol
12 Nov	8 Nov	87%	45%	26%	22%	18%	16%
8 Nov	7 Nov	88%	46%	28%	20%	19%	16%
7 Nov	6 Nov	81%	61%	22%	20%	21%	14%
6 Nov	2 Nov	81%	60%	22%	20%	20%	15%
2 Nov	1 Nov	81%	60%	22%	21%	28%	14%
1 Nov	31 Oct	80%	52%	32%	28%	27%	14%
31 Oct	30 Oct	78%	53%	32%	30%	28%	14%
30 Oct	26 Oct	77%	52%	30%	28%	26%	24%
26 Oct	25 Oct	77%	53%	31%	29%	28%	24%
25 Oct	24 Oct	79%	53%	32%	21%	27%	25%
24 Oct	23 Oct	79%	64%	26%	20%	29%	18%
23 Oct	21 Oct	81%	65%	25%	20%	29%	18%
21 Oct	19 Oct	81%	64%	24%	20%	29%	18%
19 Oct	18 Oct	81%	64%	24%	18%	30%	18%
18 Oct	17 Oct	70%	57%	27%	19%	28%	19%
17 Oct	16 Oct	71%	57%	25%	20%	29%	17%
16 Oct	12 Oct	70%	57%	25%	21%	27%	17%
12 Oct	11 Oct	69%	57%	27%	20%	28%	16%
11 Oct	10 Oct	71%	56%	27%	22%	25%	18%
10 Oct	9 Oct	71%	57%	27%	19%	26%	18%
9 Oct	20 Sept	70%	57%	27%	19%	26%	17%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 100 at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Barcelona	Real Madrid	Espanyol	Deportivo La Coruña	Getafe	Valencia	Racing Santander	Málaga
12 Nov	8 Nov	94	87	43	43	41	40	37	27
8 Nov	7 Nov	92	87	43	43	42	40	37	28
7 Nov	6 Nov	92	86	44	43	42	42	35	30
6 Nov	2 Nov	92	86	44	43	42	42	35	30
2 Nov	1 Nov	92	86	44	41	42	42	35	30
1 Nov	31 Oct	92	85	44	41	40	39	36	30
31 Oct	30 Oct	91	85	44	41	40	39	36	30
30 Oct	26 Oct	91	84	41	41	40	39	36	30
26 Oct	25 Oct	91	84	41	41	40	39	36	30
25 Oct	24 Oct	93	82	41	41	42	39	36	30
24 Oct	23 Oct	94	82	43	41	42	41	33	30
23 Oct	21 Oct	94	82	43	41	42	41	33	29
21 Oct	19 Oct	94	82	43	41	42	41	33	29
19 Oct	18 Oct	94	82	43	41	43	41	33	29
18 Oct	17 Oct	94	81	43	41	43	41	35	32
17 Oct	16 Oct	92	81	44	41	42	41	35	32
16 Oct	12 Oct	92	81	44	42	43	41	35	32
12 Oct	11 Oct	92	81	44	42	43	41	35	32
11 Oct	10 Oct	92	81	44	43	43	41	36	32
10 Oct	9 Oct	91	80	44	43	44	42	35	32
9 Oct	20 Sept	91	80	44	43	43	42	35	32