Premier League 2026-27

Updated

Results up to 8 Nov

Table and chances

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

Table view
Premier League table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsProj. ptsRangeTitleTop 4Top 5Top halfDown
1, Win the titleArsenal (your team)10901155+10278475–9470%99%>99%>99%<1%
2, Top fourBrighton & Hove Albion (your team)10712267+19226959–794%73%84%99%<1%
3, Top fourManchester City (your team)107032113+8217667–8622%94%97%>99%<1%
4, Top fourLiverpool (your team)105321410+4186858–784%68%81%99%<1%
5, Top fiveChelsea (your team)105141916+3165949–69<1%20%36%86%<1%
6Everton (your team)104421210+2165141–61<1%4%9%51%3%
7Bournemouth (your team)104331614+2155545–65<1%10%21%72%1%
8Brentford (your team)103521611+5145545–65<1%11%21%73%1%
9Leeds United (your team)10352108+2145040–61<1%4%9%50%4%
10Aston Villa (your team)103431417−3135545–65<1%9%19%70%1%
11Tottenham Hotspur (your team)103341011−1124738–57<1%2%4%34%8%
12Newcastle United (your team)103341316−3125141–61<1%3%9%51%4%
13Hull City (your team)1025311110113929–51<1%<1%1%11%37%
14Ipswich Town (your team)103251520−5113425–44<1%<1%<1%2%64%
15Fulham (your team)102441012−2104435–54<1%1%2%21%15%
16Nottingham Forest (your team)10235913−494636–56<1%1%3%28%11%
17Coventry City (your team)103071019−993424–45<1%<1%<1%3%64%
18, Relegation to the ChampionshipManchester United (your team)101541419−584737–57<1%2%4%35%8%
19, Relegation to the ChampionshipSunderland (your team)10226817−984029–51<1%<1%1%10%36%
20, Relegation to the ChampionshipCrystal Palace (your team)102171024−1473829–48<1%<1%<1%6%42%
  • Win the title
  • Top four
  • Top five
  • Relegation to the Championship
  • Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Sat 21 November

Sun 22 November

Mon 23 November

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

Premier League: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal (your team)702162
Manchester City (your team)2242211041
Brighton & Hove Albion (your team)41828231164211
Liverpool (your team)414262414843211
Chelsea (your team)26121614121077432211
Brentford (your team)137101212119876532211
Bournemouth (your team)136111112119875543211
Aston Villa (your team)136101211119876543211
Everton (your team)135779910998765321
Newcastle United (your team)125798910998755321
Leeds United (your team)135779999987654221
Manchester United (your team)124577891099876431
Tottenham Hotspur (your team)124568891099876431
Nottingham Forest (your team)123456788910998642
Fulham (your team)1234567891011109752
Sunderland (your team)111223456791112131210
Hull City (your team)111223456781012131311
Crystal Palace (your team)1122345791113151413
Coventry City (your team)1112345710141931
Ipswich Town (your team)1112345811162227

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toArsenalManchester City
12 Nov8 Nov70%22%
8 Nov7 Nov72%21%
7 Nov6 Nov62%32%
6 Nov2 Nov61%33%
2 Nov1 Nov62%32%
1 Nov31 Oct54%37%
31 Oct25 Oct46%48%
25 Oct24 Oct48%46%
24 Oct23 Oct36%59%
23 Oct19 Oct36%60%
19 Oct18 Oct35%60%
18 Oct17 Oct31%64%
17 Oct12 Oct31%65%
12 Oct10 Oct38%55%
10 Oct20 Sept36%57%

Relegation chances (18th–20th)

Chance of finishing 18th–20th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Relegation chances (18th–20th), after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toCoventry CityIpswich TownCrystal PalaceHull CitySunderlandFulham
12 Nov8 Nov64%64%42%37%36%15%
8 Nov7 Nov65%57%36%36%48%15%
7 Nov6 Nov64%56%33%35%47%14%
6 Nov2 Nov56%58%35%35%47%15%
2 Nov1 Nov56%58%34%35%47%13%
1 Nov31 Oct56%57%33%35%46%15%
31 Oct25 Oct72%60%28%35%35%16%
25 Oct24 Oct72%61%21%36%35%16%
24 Oct23 Oct65%59%20%35%34%22%
23 Oct19 Oct64%60%21%35%34%22%
19 Oct18 Oct56%59%20%35%35%21%
18 Oct17 Oct59%60%15%36%28%22%
17 Oct12 Oct58%64%15%30%28%29%
12 Oct10 Oct78%63%18%35%25%25%
10 Oct20 Sept80%75%19%36%18%17%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 90 at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toArsenalManchester CityFulhamSunderlandHull CityCrystal PalaceIpswich TownCoventry City
12 Nov8 Nov8476444039383434
8 Nov7 Nov8476443740403634
7 Nov6 Nov8479453740403634
6 Nov2 Nov8479443740403536
2 Nov1 Nov8479453740403536
1 Nov31 Oct8279443740403536
31 Oct25 Oct8282444040413532
25 Oct24 Oct8282454040433532
24 Oct23 Oct8184434040433534
23 Oct19 Oct8184434040433534
19 Oct18 Oct8184434040433536
18 Oct17 Oct8084434240463536
17 Oct12 Oct8085414242463436
12 Oct10 Oct8082414240443429
10 Oct20 Sept7982444540443129