Alavés win 48%Draw 28%Deportivo La Coruña win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 17th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 5% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 9% | |
| 18th | 8% | Relegation |
| 19th | 7% | Relegation |
| 20th | 3% | Relegation |
Deportivo La Coruña's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)18% (was 25%)
Projected points43 (was 43)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 18% | 43 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 1% | 19% | 43 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 21% | 43 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 1% | 20% | 43 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 28% | 41 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 41 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 41 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | <1% | 26% | 41 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 41 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 41 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 29% | 41 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 1% | 29% | 41 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 29% | 41 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 30% | 41 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 41 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 29% | 41 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 1% | 27% | 42 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 42 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 25% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 26% | 43 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 26% | 43 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Alavés win 48%Draw 28%Deportivo La Coruña win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Deportivo La Coruña win 11%Draw 16%Barcelona win 73%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.0–2.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Racing Santander win 39%Draw 26%Deportivo La Coruña win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.4Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Espanyol win 49%Draw 27% (what happened)Deportivo La Coruña win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Deportivo La Coruña win 41% (what happened)Draw 27%Osasuna win 32%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Atlético Madrid win 75% (what happened)Draw 16%Deportivo La Coruña win 9%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.5–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Deportivo La Coruña win 43%Draw 24% (what happened)Levante win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.4
Full timePrediction made