Rayo Vallecano win 45%Draw 29%Valencia win 26%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Rayo Vallecano (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 13th
- after 11 played
- Points
- 12
- won 3, drawn 3, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 46
- range 36–56
- Goals
- 15–21
- difference −6
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 3%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 37%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 9%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 9th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 2% | Top five |
| 6th | 4% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 7% | |
| 17th | 6% | |
| 18th | 5% | Relegation |
| 19th | 3% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Rayo Vallecano's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 2%)
Relegation (18th–20th)9% (was 9%)
Projected points46 (was 47)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 1% | 9% | 46 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 2% | 7% | 47 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 47 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 44 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 1% | 13% | 44 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 12% | 45 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 44 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 47 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 48 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 48 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 48 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 48 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 48 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 10% | 47 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sat 28 November
Real Betis win 56%Draw 25%Rayo Vallecano win 19%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Rayo Vallecano win 46%Draw 27%Levante win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 9 December
Rayo Vallecano win 36%Draw 30%Athletic Bilbao win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
CancelledPrediction as of · nothing locks until the match is rescheduled
An earlier prediction (made ) was voided: cancelled. It won't be scored.
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Real Sociedad win 50% (what happened)Draw 26%Rayo Vallecano win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Rayo Vallecano win 37% (what happened)Draw 29%Celta Vigo win 34%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Rayo Vallecano win 47%Draw 27%Elche win 26% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Mon 19 October
Getafe win 37%Draw 35% (what happened)Rayo Vallecano win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 0–0 (19%)Expected goals 0.9–0.8
Full timePrediction made