Serie A 2026-27

Updated 12 Nov, 08:49 UTC

Results up to 8 Nov

Table and chances

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

ShortFull

Chance shown

Serie A table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Top 5	Top half	Down
1, Win the title	Lazio (your team)	11	9	2	0	25	9	+16	29	72	62–81	5%	57%	74%	99%	<1%
2, Top four	Inter Milan (your team)	11	9	1	1	28	13	+15	28	86	77–94	66%	98%	99%	>99%	<1%
3, Top four	Roma (your team)	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27	79	69–88	21%	88%	94%	>99%	<1%
4, Top four	AC Milan (your team)	11	7	3	1	23	13	+10	24	70	61–80	3%	50%	68%	99%	<1%
5, Top five	Como (your team)	11	7	2	2	18	10	+8	23	72	62–81	4%	59%	74%	>99%	<1%
6	Frosinone (your team)	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20	51	41–62	<1%	1%	3%	51%	1%
7	Juventus (your team)	11	5	3	3	15	12	+3	18	64	54–74	<1%	19%	34%	96%	<1%
8	Bologna (your team)	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17	56	46–66	<1%	3%	8%	77%	<1%
9	Cagliari (your team)	11	5	1	5	10	15	−5	16	45	36–55	<1%	<1%	<1%	22%	5%
10	Napoli (your team)	11	4	3	4	18	14	+4	15	64	54–73	<1%	19%	33%	95%	<1%
11	Torino (your team)	11	4	2	5	15	17	−2	14	44	35–54	<1%	<1%	<1%	19%	6%
12	Atalanta (your team)	11	4	2	5	17	20	−3	14	57	47–67	<1%	5%	10%	81%	<1%
13	Genoa (your team)	11	4	1	6	11	16	−5	13	45	35–55	<1%	<1%	<1%	21%	6%
14	Lecce (your team)	11	3	1	7	12	22	−10	10	33	25–42	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	52%
15	Fiorentina (your team)	11	2	3	6	17	25	−8	9	46	37–56	<1%	<1%	<1%	27%	4%
16	Parma (your team)	11	2	2	7	9	17	−8	8	36	27–45	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%	38%
17	Sassuolo (your team)	11	2	2	7	16	29	−13	8	39	29–49	<1%	<1%	<1%	6%	22%
18, Relegation to Serie B	Monza (your team)	11	2	1	8	17	25	−8	7	32	22–41	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	61%
19, Relegation to Serie B	Venezia (your team)	11	2	0	9	8	21	−13	6	32	22–41	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	61%
20, Relegation to Serie B	Udinese (your team)	11	1	2	8	12	25	−13	5	35	25–44	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	43%

Win the title
Top four
Top five
Relegation to Serie B
Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Sat 21 November

Como14:00Cagliari

Como win 64%Draw 22%Cagliari win 14%

Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Lazio14:00Lecce

Lazio win 64%Draw 23%Lecce win 13%

Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Parma win 14%Draw 23%Roma win 63%

Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.7–1.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Napoli19:45Torino

Napoli win 60%Draw 23%Torino win 17%

Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sun 22 November

Juventus11:30Venezia

Juventus win 67%Draw 21%Venezia win 12%

Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 2.0–0.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Bologna14:00Udinese

Bologna win 52%Draw 25%Udinese win 23%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sassuolo14:00Genoa

Sassuolo win 38%Draw 26%Genoa win 36%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

AC Milan17:00Frosinone

AC Milan win 62%Draw 20%Frosinone win 18%

Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Atalanta19:45Inter Milan

Atalanta win 25%Draw 22%Inter Milan win 53%

Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.3–1.9

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Mon 23 November

Monza19:45Fiorentina

Monza win 27%Draw 23%Fiorentina win 50%

Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

Serie A: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Inter Milan (your team)	66	21	8	3	1	1
Roma (your team)	21	36	20	11	6	3	2	1
Como (your team)	4	13	21	20	15	11	7	4	2	1
Lazio (your team)	5	13	20	20	17	12	7	4	2	1
AC Milan (your team)	3	11	17	19	18	13	8	5	3	1	1
Juventus (your team)		3	6	10	15	18	18	13	8	5	2	1
Napoli (your team)		2	6	10	14	18	18	13	8	5	3	1	1
Atalanta (your team)			1	3	5	9	14	18	17	12	8	5	3	2	1	1
Bologna (your team)			1	2	5	8	13	17	18	13	9	6	4	2	1	1
Frosinone (your team)				1	2	3	6	10	13	16	14	11	8	6	4	2	2	1
Fiorentina (your team)						1	2	4	7	11	13	14	13	11	8	6	4	3	1	1
Cagliari (your team)						1	2	3	6	10	13	14	14	12	9	7	5	3	2
Genoa (your team)						1	2	4	6	9	12	13	13	12	10	7	6	3	2	1
Torino (your team)							1	3	5	9	12	13	14	13	10	8	5	3	2	1
Sassuolo (your team)								1	2	3	5	7	10	12	13	13	12	9	8	6
Parma (your team)									1	2	3	5	6	9	11	13	14	14	13	11
Udinese (your team)										1	2	4	5	7	10	12	15	15	14	14
Lecce (your team)										1	1	2	4	6	9	11	14	18	18	16
Venezia (your team)										1	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	20	25
Monza (your team)											1	2	3	4	7	10	12	16	19	26

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Inter Milan	Roma
12 Nov	8 Nov	66%	21%
8 Nov	7 Nov	58%	23%
7 Nov	6 Nov	59%	20%
6 Nov	2 Nov	59%	20%
2 Nov	1 Nov	59%	20%
1 Nov	31 Oct	60%	21%
31 Oct	29 Oct	72%	14%
29 Oct	28 Oct	71%	14%
28 Oct	27 Oct	68%	14%
27 Oct	25 Oct	72%	13%
25 Oct	24 Oct	70%	14%
24 Oct	23 Oct	70%	16%
23 Oct	19 Oct	70%	16%
19 Oct	18 Oct	70%	16%
18 Oct	17 Oct	71%	16%
17 Oct	16 Oct	67%	16%
16 Oct	12 Oct	67%	15%
12 Oct	11 Oct	67%	15%
11 Oct	10 Oct	65%	16%
10 Oct	20 Sept	62%	18%

Relegation chances (18th–20th)

Chance of finishing 18th–20th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Relegation chances (18th–20th), after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Venezia	Monza	Lecce	Udinese	Parma	Genoa
12 Nov	8 Nov	61%	61%	52%	43%	38%	6%
8 Nov	7 Nov	62%	56%	54%	43%	38%	5%
7 Nov	6 Nov	62%	57%	56%	46%	33%	5%
6 Nov	2 Nov	72%	58%	55%	35%	33%	6%
2 Nov	1 Nov	69%	54%	51%	32%	52%	5%
1 Nov	31 Oct	70%	57%	45%	33%	52%	8%
31 Oct	29 Oct	71%	51%	48%	29%	54%	9%
29 Oct	28 Oct	74%	56%	36%	29%	55%	9%
28 Oct	27 Oct	71%	48%	37%	28%	52%	18%
27 Oct	25 Oct	73%	49%	37%	28%	54%	20%
25 Oct	24 Oct	68%	50%	33%	24%	55%	27%
24 Oct	23 Oct	69%	51%	33%	25%	53%	28%
23 Oct	19 Oct	69%	45%	35%	25%	52%	28%
19 Oct	18 Oct	70%	63%	32%	24%	38%	27%
18 Oct	17 Oct	69%	62%	50%	14%	36%	27%
17 Oct	16 Oct	81%	62%	47%	13%	36%	22%
16 Oct	12 Oct	83%	62%	48%	13%	34%	20%
12 Oct	11 Oct	80%	62%	48%	10%	36%	20%
11 Oct	10 Oct	81%	58%	44%	10%	36%	22%
10 Oct	20 Sept	80%	57%	44%	10%	32%	31%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 90 at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Inter Milan	Roma	Genoa	Parma	Udinese	Lecce	Monza	Venezia
12 Nov	8 Nov	86	79	45	36	35	33	32	32
8 Nov	7 Nov	84	79	46	36	35	33	32	31
7 Nov	6 Nov	84	78	46	37	34	33	33	32
6 Nov	2 Nov	84	78	46	37	36	33	32	29
2 Nov	1 Nov	84	78	46	33	36	33	32	29
1 Nov	31 Oct	84	78	44	33	36	34	32	29
31 Oct	29 Oct	87	76	44	33	38	34	33	30
29 Oct	28 Oct	86	77	44	33	38	36	33	29
28 Oct	27 Oct	86	76	41	34	38	36	35	30
27 Oct	25 Oct	86	75	40	33	38	36	34	29
25 Oct	24 Oct	85	76	39	33	40	38	34	31
24 Oct	23 Oct	85	76	39	34	40	38	35	31
23 Oct	19 Oct	85	76	39	34	40	38	36	31
19 Oct	18 Oct	86	76	39	37	40	38	32	30
18 Oct	17 Oct	85	76	39	37	43	34	32	30
17 Oct	16 Oct	84	75	40	37	43	34	32	27
16 Oct	12 Oct	84	75	40	37	43	34	32	26
12 Oct	11 Oct	84	75	40	37	45	34	32	27
11 Oct	10 Oct	84	75	40	37	44	35	33	27
10 Oct	20 Sept	83	75	38	38	45	35	33	27