Torino win 50%Draw 25%Monza win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Table and chances
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Top 5 | Top half | Down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Win the title | Inter Milan (your team) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 19 | 85 | 75–95 | 71% | 98% | 99% | >99% | <1% |
| 2, Top four | Lazio (your team) | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 19 | 67 | 56–78 | 3% | 40% | 55% | 97% | <1% |
| 3, Top four | Roma (your team) | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 17 | 76 | 65–86 | 15% | 81% | 89% | >99% | <1% |
| 4, Top four | AC Milan (your team) | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | 68 | 57–78 | 3% | 44% | 59% | 98% | <1% |
| 5, Top five | Como (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 69 | 58–80 | 5% | 53% | 67% | 98% | <1% |
| 6 | Frosinone (your team) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 46 | 35–58 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 32% | 8% |
| 7 | Cagliari (your team) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | −1 | 13 | 47 | 37–57 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 33% | 6% |
| 8 | Juventus (your team) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 11 | 64 | 54–74 | 1% | 27% | 41% | 95% | <1% |
| 9 | Napoli (your team) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 | 65 | 54–75 | 1% | 32% | 47% | 95% | <1% |
| 10 | Torino (your team) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 10 | 47 | 37–58 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 35% | 5% |
| 11 | Atalanta (your team) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | −1 | 9 | 62 | 51–73 | 1% | 20% | 32% | 91% | <1% |
| 12 | Lecce (your team) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | −3 | 9 | 38 | 28–48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 35% |
| 13 | Sassuolo (your team) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | −2 | 8 | 45 | 35–56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 26% | 10% |
| 14 | Monza (your team) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | −2 | 7 | 36 | 26–46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 45% |
| 15 | Bologna (your team) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | −4 | 5 | 49 | 39–60 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 44% | 3% |
| 16 | Parma (your team) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | −9 | 4 | 34 | 24–45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 53% |
| 17 | Genoa (your team) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | −8 | 4 | 39 | 29–50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 9% | 28% |
| 18, Relegation to Serie B | Udinese (your team) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | −7 | 4 | 40 | 30–51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 25% |
| 19, Relegation to Serie B | Fiorentina (your team) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | −9 | 4 | 44 | 34–55 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 22% | 12% |
| 20, Relegation to Serie B | Venezia (your team) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | −10 | 3 | 30 | 20–41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 70% |
- Win the title
- Top four
- Top five
- Relegation to Serie B
- Thicker line: zone boundary
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.
Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 23 October
Sat 24 October
Cagliari win 29%Draw 28%Bologna win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Como win 63%Draw 21%Sassuolo win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Napoli win 35%Draw 29%Roma win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lazio win 58%Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 25 October
Inter Milan win 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Atalanta win 64%Draw 20%Frosinone win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Genoa win 48%Draw 27%Venezia win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lecce win 16%Draw 26%Juventus win 58%
Most likely 0–1 (17%)Expected goals 0.7–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Udinese win 23%Draw 25%AC Milan win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Finishing positions
Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan (your team) | 71 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||
| Roma (your team) | 15 | 34 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||
| Como (your team) | 5 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |||||||||
| AC Milan (your team) | 3 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Lazio (your team) | 3 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||
| Napoli (your team) | 1 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Juventus (your team) | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
| Atalanta (your team) | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||||||
| Bologna (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Torino (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Cagliari (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Frosinone (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| Sassuolo (your team) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||||
| Fiorentina (your team) | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||||
| Udinese (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 6 | ||||||
| Genoa (your team) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 7 | ||||||
| Lecce (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 8 | |||||||
| Monza (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 14 | |||||||
| Parma (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 20 | ||||||||
| Venezia (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 37 | |||||||||
How the race has moved
Title chances
Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Inter Milan (your team)71% (was 62%)
Roma (your team)15% (was 17%)
AC Milan (your team)3% (was 4%)
| AC Milan (your team) |
|---|
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 4% |
Atalanta (your team)1% (was 1%)
| Atalanta (your team) |
|---|
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
Bologna (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Bologna (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Cagliari (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Cagliari (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Como (your team)5% (was 5%)
| Como (your team) |
|---|
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 4% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
Fiorentina (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Fiorentina (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Frosinone (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Frosinone (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Genoa (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Genoa (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Juventus (your team)1% (was 5%)
| Juventus (your team) |
|---|
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 3% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 5% |
| 6% |
Lazio (your team)3% (was 1%)
| Lazio (your team) |
|---|
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
Lecce (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lecce (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Monza (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Monza (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Napoli (your team)1% (was 3%)
| Napoli (your team) |
|---|
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 4% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
Parma (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Parma (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Sassuolo (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Sassuolo (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Torino (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Torino (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Udinese (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Udinese (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Venezia (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Venezia (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Inter Milan | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 71% | 15% |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 70% | 16% |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 71% | 16% |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 67% | 16% |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 67% | 15% |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 67% | 15% |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 65% | 16% |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 62% | 18% |
Relegation chances (18th–20th)
Chance of finishing 18th–20th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Venezia (your team)70% (was 80%)
Parma (your team)53% (was 32%)
Monza (your team)45% (was 57%)
Lecce (your team)35% (was 45%)
Genoa (your team)28% (was 32%)
Udinese (your team)25% (was 11%)
AC Milan (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| AC Milan (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Atalanta (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Atalanta (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Bologna (your team)3% (was 4%)
| Bologna (your team) |
|---|
| 3% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 4% |
| 4% |
Cagliari (your team)6% (was 3%)
| Cagliari (your team) |
|---|
| 6% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
Como (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Como (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Fiorentina (your team)12% (was 5%)
| Fiorentina (your team) |
|---|
| 12% |
| 11% |
| 8% |
| 8% |
| 7% |
| 6% |
| 8% |
| 6% |
Frosinone (your team)8% (was 11%)
| Frosinone (your team) |
|---|
| 8% |
| 9% |
| 9% |
| 9% |
| 16% |
| 15% |
| 16% |
| 11% |
Inter Milan (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Inter Milan (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Juventus (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Juventus (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Lazio (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lazio (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Napoli (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Napoli (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Roma (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Roma (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Sassuolo (your team)10% (was 6%)
| Sassuolo (your team) |
|---|
| 10% |
| 10% |
| 9% |
| 9% |
| 5% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| 7% |
Torino (your team)5% (was 14%)
| Torino (your team) |
|---|
| 5% |
| 10% |
| 10% |
| 9% |
| 8% |
| 13% |
| 13% |
| 14% |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Venezia | Parma | Monza | Lecce | Genoa | Udinese |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 70% | 53% | 45% | 35% | 28% | 25% |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 70% | 38% | 63% | 32% | 27% | 24% |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 69% | 36% | 62% | 50% | 27% | 14% |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 81% | 36% | 62% | 47% | 22% | 13% |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 83% | 34% | 62% | 48% | 20% | 13% |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 80% | 36% | 62% | 48% | 20% | 10% |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 81% | 36% | 58% | 44% | 22% | 10% |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 80% | 32% | 57% | 44% | 31% | 10% |
Projected points
Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 90 at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Inter Milan (your team)85 (was 83)
Roma (your team)76 (was 75)
Udinese (your team)40 (was 44)
Genoa (your team)39 (was 38)
Lecce (your team)38 (was 35)
Monza (your team)36 (was 33)
Parma (your team)34 (was 38)
Venezia (your team)30 (was 27)
AC Milan (your team)68 (was 67)
| AC Milan (your team) |
|---|
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 66 |
| 66 |
| 66 |
| 66 |
| 67 |
| 67 |
Atalanta (your team)62 (was 63)
| Atalanta (your team) |
|---|
| 62 |
| 62 |
| 64 |
| 64 |
| 64 |
| 63 |
| 63 |
| 63 |
Bologna (your team)49 (was 49)
| Bologna (your team) |
|---|
| 49 |
| 49 |
| 49 |
| 51 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
| 49 |
| 49 |
Cagliari (your team)47 (was 50)
| Cagliari (your team) |
|---|
| 47 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
| 51 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
Como (your team)69 (was 68)
| Como (your team) |
|---|
| 69 |
| 70 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
Fiorentina (your team)44 (was 48)
| Fiorentina (your team) |
|---|
| 44 |
| 44 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 48 |
Frosinone (your team)46 (was 45)
| Frosinone (your team) |
|---|
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 45 |
Juventus (your team)64 (was 69)
| Juventus (your team) |
|---|
| 64 |
| 64 |
| 67 |
| 67 |
| 67 |
| 67 |
| 69 |
| 69 |
Lazio (your team)67 (was 62)
| Lazio (your team) |
|---|
| 67 |
| 67 |
| 64 |
| 63 |
| 64 |
| 64 |
| 62 |
| 62 |
Napoli (your team)65 (was 66)
| Napoli (your team) |
|---|
| 65 |
| 65 |
| 65 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 68 |
| 66 |
Sassuolo (your team)45 (was 47)
| Sassuolo (your team) |
|---|
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 48 |
| 47 |
| 47 |
| 47 |
Torino (your team)47 (was 43)
| Torino (your team) |
|---|
| 47 |
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 45 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Inter Milan | Roma | Udinese | Genoa | Lecce | Monza | Parma | Venezia |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 85 | 76 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 36 | 34 | 30 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 86 | 76 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 32 | 37 | 30 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 85 | 76 | 43 | 39 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 30 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 84 | 75 | 43 | 40 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 27 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 84 | 75 | 43 | 40 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 26 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 84 | 75 | 45 | 40 | 34 | 32 | 37 | 27 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 84 | 75 | 44 | 40 | 35 | 33 | 37 | 27 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 83 | 75 | 45 | 38 | 35 | 33 | 38 | 27 |