Sevilla win 48%Draw 26%Osasuna win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Osasuna (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 9th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 11
- won 3, drawn 2, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 45
- range 36–55
- Goals
- 10–18
- difference −8
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 3%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 29%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 11%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 14th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 2% | Top five |
| 6th | 3% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 10% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 8% | |
| 17th | 8% | |
| 18th | 6% | Relegation |
| 19th | 3% | Relegation |
| 20th | 2% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Osasuna's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)11% (was 15%)
Projected points45 (was 45)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 1% | 11% | 45 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 45 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 12% | 45 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 17% | 44 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 17% | 44 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 18% | 44 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 17% | 44 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Mon 26 October
Mon 2 November
Deportivo La Coruña win 40%Draw 27%Osasuna win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Osasuna win 37%Draw 29%Athletic Bilbao win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Osasuna win 59% (what happened)Draw 21%Racing Santander win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Real Betis win 58% (what happened)Draw 23%Osasuna win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9
Full timePrediction made