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Atlético Madrid

La Liga 2026-27

Updated

Results up to 8 Nov

Note

Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.

Now and projected

Position
3rd
after 12 played
Points
28
won 9, drawn 1, lost 2
Proj. pts
77
range 68–86
Goals
23–10
difference +13

Chances

Title
2%
1st
Top four
95%
1st–4th
Top five
99%
1st–5th
Top half
>99%
1st–10th
Relegation
<1%
18th–20th

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.

Finishing position

Most likely: 3rd (62%)

Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 75%.

  • Title (1st)
  • Top four (1st–4th)
  • Top five (1st–5th)
  • Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
Atlético Madrid: chance of each finishing position
PositionChanceZone
1st2%Title
2nd15%Top four
3rd62%Top four
4th16%Top four
5th3%Top five
6th1%
7th<1%
8th<1%
9th<1%
10th<1%
11th<1%
12th<1%
13th<1%
14th<1%
15th<1%
16th<1%
17th<1%
18th<1%Relegation
19th<1%Relegation
20th<1%Relegation

Chances over time

Atlético Madrid's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 80.

  • Title (1st)2% (was 4%)

  • Top four (1st–4th)95% (was 88%)

  • Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)

  • Projected points77 (was 74)

Show the numbers
Atlético Madrid: chances after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toTitleTop fourRelegationProj. pts
12 Nov8 Nov2%95%<1%77
8 Nov7 Nov5%97%<1%79
7 Nov6 Nov6%97%<1%79
6 Nov2 Nov6%97%<1%79
2 Nov1 Nov6%97%<1%79
1 Nov31 Oct6%97%<1%79
31 Oct30 Oct5%95%<1%77
30 Oct26 Oct5%94%<1%77
26 Oct25 Oct6%94%<1%77
25 Oct24 Oct4%95%<1%77
24 Oct23 Oct4%94%<1%77
23 Oct21 Oct4%94%<1%77
21 Oct19 Oct4%94%<1%77
19 Oct18 Oct4%94%<1%77
18 Oct17 Oct4%95%<1%77
17 Oct16 Oct4%90%<1%75
16 Oct12 Oct4%91%<1%75
12 Oct11 Oct4%90%<1%75
11 Oct10 Oct4%91%<1%75
10 Oct9 Oct4%87%<1%74
9 Oct20 Sept4%88%<1%74

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Sun 22 November

Sat 28 November

Wed 2 December

Sun 6 December

Recent matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Sun 8 November

Sat 31 October

Levante0–2Atlético Madrid

25%Draw 24% 51%

Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.8

Full timePrediction made

Sat 24 October

Sat 17 October

La Liga table and chancesAll La Liga matches