Atlético Madrid win 75%Draw 16%Deportivo La Coruña win 9%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.5–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Atlético Madrid (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 2nd
- after 9 played
- Points
- 22
- won 7, drawn 1, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 77
- range 67–86
- Goals
- 19–8
- difference +11
Chances
- Title
- 4%
- 1st
- Top four
- 94%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 98%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 3rd (50%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4% | Title |
| 2nd | 27% | Top four |
| 3rd | 50% | Top four |
| 4th | 14% | Top four |
| 5th | 4% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Atlético Madrid's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 80.
Title (1st)4% (was 4%)
Top four (1st–4th)94% (was 88%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points77 (was 74)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | 4% | 94% | <1% | 77 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | 4% | 94% | <1% | 77 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 4% | 94% | <1% | 77 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 4% | 95% | <1% | 77 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 4% | 90% | <1% | 75 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 4% | 91% | <1% | 75 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 4% | 90% | <1% | 75 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 4% | 91% | <1% | 75 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 4% | 87% | <1% | 74 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 4% | 88% | <1% | 74 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sat 31 October
Levante win 25%Draw 24%Atlético Madrid win 51%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Atlético Madrid win 33%Draw 24%Barcelona win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.5–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Espanyol win 25%Draw 25%Atlético Madrid win 50% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Alavés win 26%Draw 26%Atlético Madrid win 48% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.5
Full timePrediction made