Bundesliga 2026-27

Updated

Results up to 8 Nov

Table and chances

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

Table view
Bundesliga table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsProj. ptsRangeTitleTop 4Top 5Top halfPlay-offDown
1, Win the titleBayern Munich (your team)9630299+20218274–8990%>99%>99%>99%<1%<1%
2, Top fourBorussia Dortmund (your team)9630167+9216960–788%92%97%>99%<1%<1%
3, Top fourSC Freiburg (your team)96122010+10195445–64<1%26%45%90%<1%<1%
4, Top fourRB Leipzig (your team)96032713+14186253–722%72%85%99%<1%<1%
5, Top fiveBayer Leverkusen (your team)95132017+3166051–701%61%78%98%<1%<1%
6Werder Bremen (your team)94321715+2154636–55<1%4%9%54%2%2%
7SV Elversberg (your team)94141718−1134433–55<1%5%10%44%4%5%
8VfB Stuttgart (your team)940515150125445–64<1%28%47%90%<1%<1%
9TSG Hoffenheim (your team)94051617−1124536–55<1%3%9%52%2%2%
10Eintracht Frankfurt (your team)93331520−5124637–55<1%4%10%56%2%2%
11Hamburger SV (your team)94051020−10123829–48<1%1%2%19%9%14%
12Mainz 05 (your team)93151819−1104333–52<1%2%5%40%4%3%
13Paderborn 07 (your team)9243811−3103626–47<1%1%1%14%11%22%
14FC Augsburg (your team)92342020093930–48<1%1%2%22%8%10%
151. FC Köln (your team)92341014−493526–44<1%<1%<1%9%14%25%
16, Finish in the relegation play-off placeUnion Berlin (your team)9144721−1473324–42<1%<1%<1%5%15%34%
17, Relegation to the 2. BundesligaSchalke 04 (your team)9135511−663121–41<1%<1%<1%4%14%46%
18, Relegation to the 2. BundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach (your team)91171225−1343223–41<1%<1%<1%4%15%37%
  • Win the title
  • Top four
  • Top five
  • Finish in the relegation play-off place
  • Relegation to the 2. Bundesliga
  • Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Fri 20 November

Sat 21 November

Sun 22 November

Fri 27 November

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

Bundesliga: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team123456789101112131415161718
Bayern Munich (your team)9091
Borussia Dortmund (your team)8532210521
RB Leipzig (your team)22030211374211
Bayer Leverkusen (your team)112232517106311
VfB Stuttgart (your team)310161918128543111
SC Freiburg (your team)39141917139643211
Eintracht Frankfurt (your team)1369131311119864321
Werder Bremen (your team)12591113121197653211
TSG Hoffenheim (your team)125811121211109653211
SV Elversberg (your team)13579910999866432
Mainz 05 (your team)113681011121110875421
FC Augsburg (your team)124689101111109864
Hamburger SV (your team)123578910111110986
Paderborn 07 (your team)1224567991011111210
1. FC Köln (your team)1134568101213141411
Union Berlin (your team)11244691113151618
Borussia Mönchengladbach (your team)1123468913151720
Schalke 04 (your team)1123356910141827

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toBayern MunichBorussia Dortmund
12 Nov8 Nov90%8%
8 Nov7 Nov89%9%
7 Nov6 Nov89%9%
6 Nov1 Nov89%9%
1 Nov31 Oct88%9%
31 Oct30 Oct91%7%
30 Oct25 Oct90%7%
25 Oct24 Oct87%8%
24 Oct23 Oct88%7%
23 Oct18 Oct88%7%
18 Oct17 Oct89%7%
17 Oct16 Oct82%11%
16 Oct11 Oct81%11%
12 Oct10 Oct81%11%
10 Oct9 Oct88%9%
9 Oct20 Sept85%12%

Relegation chances (17th–18th)

Chance of finishing 17th–18th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. The play-off place (16th) is not included. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Relegation chances (17th–18th), after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toSchalke 04Borussia MönchengladbachUnion Berlin1. FC KölnPaderborn 07Hamburger SV
12 Nov8 Nov46%37%34%25%22%14%
8 Nov7 Nov44%39%30%22%23%14%
7 Nov6 Nov46%40%29%22%23%15%
6 Nov1 Nov45%30%29%22%24%25%
1 Nov31 Oct45%31%28%23%24%22%
31 Oct30 Oct39%31%29%25%27%22%
30 Oct25 Oct40%27%28%22%28%21%
25 Oct24 Oct40%27%27%23%28%21%
24 Oct23 Oct38%27%29%21%36%16%
23 Oct18 Oct36%41%27%19%34%14%
18 Oct17 Oct37%33%28%19%36%15%
17 Oct16 Oct29%31%27%18%36%24%
16 Oct11 Oct29%30%28%15%36%24%
12 Oct10 Oct28%25%27%23%37%24%
10 Oct9 Oct24%25%35%23%26%40%
9 Oct20 Sept24%25%35%23%25%40%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 30 points at the bottom to 90 at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers
Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toBayern MunichBorussia DortmundHamburger SVPaderborn 071. FC KölnUnion BerlinBorussia MönchengladbachSchalke 04
12 Nov8 Nov8269383635333231
8 Nov7 Nov8169383636343232
7 Nov6 Nov8169393636343231
6 Nov1 Nov8169363636353431
1 Nov31 Oct8169373636353431
31 Oct30 Oct8268373636353533
30 Oct25 Oct8268373636353533
25 Oct24 Oct8168373636353533
24 Oct23 Oct8167393437353533
23 Oct18 Oct8167393437353233
18 Oct17 Oct8167393437353433
17 Oct16 Oct8068363337353435
16 Oct11 Oct8068363338353435
12 Oct10 Oct8068363336353535
10 Oct9 Oct8268323636333536
9 Oct20 Sept8270323636333536