Bundesliga 2026-27

Updated 22 Oct, 06:34 UTC

Results up to 18 Oct

Table and chances

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Chance shown

Bundesliga table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Top 5	Top half	Play-off	Down
1, Win the title	Bayern Munich (your team)	6	4	2	0	22	5	+17	14	81	73–89	88%	>99%	>99%	>99%	<1%	<1%
2, Top four	Borussia Dortmund (your team)	6	4	2	0	11	4	+7	14	67	57–77	7%	88%	94%	>99%	<1%	<1%
3, Top four	SC Freiburg (your team)	6	4	1	1	15	6	+9	13	51	41–62	<1%	19%	33%	79%	1%	<1%
4, Top four	Bayer Leverkusen (your team)	6	4	1	1	16	9	+7	13	65	55–74	4%	82%	91%	99%	<1%	<1%
5, Top five	Mainz 05 (your team)	6	3	1	2	14	10	+4	10	48	38–58	<1%	9%	18%	64%	2%	1%
6	SV Elversberg (your team)	6	3	1	2	12	11	+1	10	43	31–56	<1%	6%	12%	40%	6%	9%
7	RB Leipzig (your team)	6	3	0	3	16	11	+5	9	58	47–68	1%	52%	68%	94%	<1%	<1%
8	Werder Bremen (your team)	6	2	3	1	12	12	0	9	42	32–52	<1%	2%	5%	33%	5%	6%
9	Hamburger SV (your team)	6	3	0	3	6	15	−9	9	39	29–50	<1%	1%	3%	23%	9%	15%
10	FC Augsburg (your team)	6	2	2	2	16	12	+4	8	43	33–53	<1%	3%	7%	39%	5%	5%
11	Eintracht Frankfurt (your team)	6	2	2	2	10	16	−6	8	46	36–56	<1%	6%	12%	53%	3%	3%
12	1. FC Köln (your team)	6	2	1	3	8	11	−3	7	37	27–47	<1%	1%	1%	15%	11%	19%
13	VfB Stuttgart (your team)	6	2	0	4	8	10	−2	6	53	43–63	<1%	27%	44%	85%	<1%	<1%
14	TSG Hoffenheim (your team)	6	2	0	4	11	14	−3	6	43	34–53	<1%	3%	7%	40%	4%	4%
15	Schalke 04 (your team)	6	1	2	3	4	7	−3	5	33	22–44	<1%	<1%	1%	9%	13%	37%
16, Finish in the relegation play-off place	Paderborn 07 (your team)	6	1	2	3	5	9	−4	5	34	23–45	<1%	1%	1%	11%	13%	34%
17, Relegation to the 2. Bundesliga	Union Berlin (your team)	6	1	2	3	5	17	−12	5	35	26–45	<1%	<1%	1%	10%	14%	26%
18, Relegation to the 2. Bundesliga	Borussia Mönchengladbach (your team)	6	0	0	6	8	20	−12	0	32	22–42	<1%	<1%	<1%	5%	14%	41%

Win the title
Top four
Top five
Finish in the relegation play-off place
Relegation to the 2. Bundesliga
Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

Next matches

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Fri 23 October

VfB Stuttgart18:30Borussia Mönchengladbach

VfB Stuttgart win 65%Draw 19%Borussia Mönchengladbach win 16%

Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Sat 24 October

1. FC Köln13:30Schalke 04

1. FC Köln win 46%Draw 28%Schalke 04 win 26%

Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

FC Augsburg13:30Union Berlin

FC Augsburg win 50%Draw 26%Union Berlin win 24%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Mainz 0513:30Werder Bremen

Mainz 05 win 52%Draw 25%Werder Bremen win 23%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Paderborn 0713:30Hamburger SV

Paderborn 07 win 41%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 30%

Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

RB Leipzig13:30SV Elversberg

RB Leipzig win 66%Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%

Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Borussia Dortmund16:30Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund win 67%Draw 18%Eintracht Frankfurt win 15%

Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Sun 25 October

TSG Hoffenheim14:30Bayer Leverkusen

TSG Hoffenheim win 28%Draw 22%Bayer Leverkusen win 50%

Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 1.6–2.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

SC Freiburg16:30Bayern Munich

SC Freiburg win 15%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 68%

Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.3–2.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

Fri 30 October

SV Elversberg19:30Mainz 05

SV Elversberg win 36%Draw 27%Mainz 05 win 37%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4

UpcomingPrediction as of 22 Oct, 06:34 · locks at kick-off

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

Bundesliga: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Bayern Munich (your team)	88	10	2
Borussia Dortmund (your team)	7	42	26	13	6	3	1	1
Bayer Leverkusen (your team)	4	30	31	17	9	5	2	1	1
RB Leipzig (your team)	1	10	18	22	17	11	7	5	3	2	1	1
VfB Stuttgart (your team)		3	8	15	17	15	11	9	6	5	3	2	2	1	1
SC Freiburg (your team)		2	5	11	15	14	12	11	9	6	5	4	3	2	1	1
Mainz 05 (your team)		1	3	6	9	11	12	11	11	9	8	6	5	4	2	2	1
Eintracht Frankfurt (your team)			2	4	6	9	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	1
TSG Hoffenheim (your team)			1	2	4	7	8	9	10	10	10	10	8	8	6	4	3	1
FC Augsburg (your team)			1	2	4	6	8	9	9	10	10	9	8	7	6	5	3	1
SV Elversberg (your team)		1	2	3	5	6	7	8	7	7	8	8	8	7	7	6	5	4
Werder Bremen (your team)				1	3	5	6	8	9	10	10	10	10	9	7	5	4	2
Hamburger SV (your team)				1	2	3	5	5	7	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	7
1. FC Köln (your team)					1	2	3	3	5	6	7	9	10	11	11	11	11	8
Union Berlin (your team)					1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	11	12	14	14	12
Paderborn 07 (your team)					1	1	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	9	11	13	14	19
Schalke 04 (your team)					1	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	13	16	21
Borussia Mönchengladbach (your team)							1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	14	18	23

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.

Show the numbers

Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Bayern Munich	Borussia Dortmund
22 Oct	18 Oct	88%	7%
18 Oct	17 Oct	89%	7%
17 Oct	16 Oct	82%	11%
16 Oct	11 Oct	81%	11%
12 Oct	10 Oct	81%	11%
10 Oct	9 Oct	88%	9%
9 Oct	20 Sept	85%	12%

Relegation chances (17th–18th)

Chance of finishing 17th–18th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. The play-off place (16th) is not included. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.

Show the numbers

Relegation chances (17th–18th), after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Schalke 04	Paderborn 07	Union Berlin	1. FC Köln	Hamburger SV
22 Oct	18 Oct	41%	37%	34%	26%	19%	15%
18 Oct	17 Oct	33%	37%	36%	28%	19%	15%
17 Oct	16 Oct	31%	29%	36%	27%	18%	24%
16 Oct	11 Oct	30%	29%	36%	28%	15%	24%
12 Oct	10 Oct	25%	28%	37%	27%	23%	24%
10 Oct	9 Oct	25%	24%	26%	35%	23%	40%
9 Oct	20 Sept	25%	24%	25%	35%	23%	40%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 30 points at the bottom to 90 at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.

Show the numbers

Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Bayern Munich	Borussia Dortmund	Hamburger SV	1. FC Köln	Union Berlin	Paderborn 07	Schalke 04	Borussia Mönchengladbach
22 Oct	18 Oct	81	67	39	37	35	34	33	32
18 Oct	17 Oct	81	67	39	37	35	34	33	34
17 Oct	16 Oct	80	68	36	37	35	33	35	34
16 Oct	11 Oct	80	68	36	38	35	33	35	34
12 Oct	10 Oct	80	68	36	36	35	33	35	35
10 Oct	9 Oct	82	68	32	36	33	36	36	35
9 Oct	20 Sept	82	70	32	36	33	36	36	35