Rayo Vallecano win 45%Draw 29%Valencia win 26%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Valencia (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 19th
- after 12 played
- Points
- 9
- won 2, drawn 3, lost 7
- Proj. pts
- 40
- range 31–50
- Goals
- 8–20
- difference −12
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- <1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 14%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 26%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 18th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 4% | |
| 10th | 5% | |
| 11th | 6% | |
| 12th | 7% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 10% | |
| 16th | 10% | |
| 17th | 11% | |
| 18th | 11% | Relegation |
| 19th | 10% | Relegation |
| 20th | 5% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Valencia's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)26% (was 28%)
Projected points40 (was 41)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 26% | 40 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 28% | 40 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 32% | 39 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 32% | 39 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | <1% | 30% | 39 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 31% | 39 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 32% | 39 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 26% | 41 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | <1% | 25% | 41 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 24% | 41 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 24% | 41 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 41 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 25% | 41 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 25% | 41 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 41 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 41 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 42 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 27% | 42 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Valencia win 44%Draw 28%Osasuna win 28%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Getafe win 38%Draw 34%Valencia win 28%
Most likely 0–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.0–0.8Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Valencia win 17%Draw 23%Real Madrid win 60% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Elche win 48%Draw 26%Valencia win 26% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Valencia win 30%Draw 26%Villarreal win 44% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Valencia win 36%Draw 29% (what happened)Athletic Bilbao win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made