Brest win 44%Draw 26%Nice win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Table and chances
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Top 5 | Top half | Play-off | Down |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Win the title | Lyon (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 14 | 59 | 49–69 | 6% | 51% | 63% | 92% | <1% | <1% |
| 2, Top four | Paris Saint-Germain (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 14 | 73 | 64–82 | 73% | 97% | 99% | >99% | <1% | <1% |
| 3, Top four | Paris FC (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 14 | 54 | 43–65 | 2% | 27% | 37% | 76% | <1% | <1% |
| 4, Top four | Lille (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 14 | 58 | 48–68 | 5% | 48% | 60% | 91% | <1% | <1% |
| 5, Top five | Monaco (your team) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 14 | 60 | 50–70 | 7% | 55% | 66% | 94% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 | Rennes (your team) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 | 54 | 44–64 | 2% | 28% | 39% | 79% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 | Lorient (your team) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 11 | 44 | 35–55 | <1% | 4% | 7% | 34% | 4% | 2% |
| 8 | Lens (your team) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 10 | 56 | 46–65 | 3% | 36% | 47% | 85% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 | Marseille (your team) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 55 | 45–65 | 2% | 33% | 45% | 83% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 | Brest (your team) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 9 | 43 | 33–54 | <1% | 3% | 6% | 30% | 4% | 2% |
| 11 | Toulouse (your team) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 9 | 46 | 36–56 | <1% | 6% | 10% | 40% | 2% | 1% |
| 12 | Auxerre (your team) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | −6 | 9 | 41 | 31–51 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 18% | 8% | 5% |
| 13 | Nice (your team) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | −3 | 8 | 42 | 32–52 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 22% | 6% | 4% |
| 14 | Strasbourg (your team) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | −3 | 7 | 47 | 37–58 | <1% | 8% | 14% | 49% | 2% | 1% |
| 15 | Angers (your team) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | 7 | 31 | 22–40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 23% | 35% |
| 16, Finish in the relegation play-off place | Le Mans (your team) | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | −5 | 6 | 32 | 21–43 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 35% |
| 17, Relegation to Ligue 2 | Troyes (your team) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | −11 | 4 | 25 | 16–35 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 14% | 69% |
| 18, Relegation to Ligue 2 | Le Havre (your team) | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | −6 | 2 | 29 | 19–38 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 21% | 46% |
- Win the title
- Top four
- Top five
- Finish in the relegation play-off place
- Relegation to Ligue 2
- Thicker line: zone boundary
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.
Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 23 October
Sat 24 October
Lens win 51%Draw 25%Paris FC win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 25 October
Monaco win 40%Draw 27%Lille win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Angers win 29%Draw 29%Lorient win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Auxerre win 53%Draw 24%Le Mans win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Marseille win 67%Draw 20%Le Havre win 13%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Rennes win 48%Draw 22%Strasbourg win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.0–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Toulouse win 66%Draw 20%Troyes win 14%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Paris Saint-Germain win 61%Draw 21%Lyon win 18%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fri 30 October
Le Havre win 12%Draw 19%Paris Saint-Germain win 69%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)Expected goals 0.8–2.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Finishing positions
Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain (your team) | 73 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| Monaco (your team) | 7 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||||
| Lyon (your team) | 6 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| Lille (your team) | 5 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||||
| Lens (your team) | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| Marseille (your team) | 2 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Rennes (your team) | 2 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Paris FC (your team) | 2 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |||
| Strasbourg (your team) | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| Toulouse (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | ||
| Lorient (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | ||
| Brest (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nice (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| Auxerre (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| Le Mans (your team) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 15 | |||||
| Angers (your team) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 21 | 14 | ||||||||
| Le Havre (your team) | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 24 | 22 | |||||||||
| Troyes (your team) | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 24 | 45 | ||||||||||
How the race has moved
Title chances
Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Paris Saint-Germain (your team)73% (was 61%)
Monaco (your team)7% (was 15%)
Angers (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Angers (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Auxerre (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Auxerre (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Brest (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Brest (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Le Havre (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Le Havre (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Le Mans (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Le Mans (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Lens (your team)3% (was 2%)
| Lens (your team) |
|---|
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
Lille (your team)5% (was 6%)
| Lille (your team) |
|---|
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 7% |
| 7% |
| 7% |
| 7% |
| 6% |
Lorient (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lorient (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Lyon (your team)6% (was 8%)
| Lyon (your team) |
|---|
| 6% |
| 5% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| 8% |
Marseille (your team)2% (was 1%)
| Marseille (your team) |
|---|
| 2% |
| 1% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
Nice (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Nice (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Paris FC (your team)2% (was 3%)
| Paris FC (your team) |
|---|
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 4% |
| 3% |
Rennes (your team)2% (was 2%)
| Rennes (your team) |
|---|
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
Strasbourg (your team)<1% (was 1%)
| Strasbourg (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
Toulouse (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Toulouse (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Troyes (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Troyes (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Paris Saint-Germain | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 73% | 7% |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 71% | 11% |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 65% | 12% |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 66% | 12% |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 65% | 12% |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 61% | 15% |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 62% | 14% |
Relegation chances (17th–18th)
Chance of finishing 17th–18th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. The play-off place (16th) is not included. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Troyes (your team)69% (was 59%)
Le Havre (your team)46% (was 41%)
Le Mans (your team)35% (was 28%)
Angers (your team)35% (was 26%)
Auxerre (your team)5% (was 12%)
| Auxerre (your team) |
|---|
| 5% |
| 12% |
| 13% |
| 14% |
| 11% |
| 11% |
| 12% |
Brest (your team)2% (was 8%)
| Brest (your team) |
|---|
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 4% |
| 4% |
| 8% |
| 8% |
Lens (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lens (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Lille (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lille (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Lorient (your team)2% (was 10%)
| Lorient (your team) |
|---|
| 2% |
| 4% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| 6% |
| 11% |
| 10% |
Lyon (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Lyon (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Marseille (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Marseille (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Monaco (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Monaco (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Nice (your team)4% (was 8%)
| Nice (your team) |
|---|
| 4% |
| 3% |
| 4% |
| 4% |
| 8% |
| 8% |
| 8% |
Paris FC (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Paris FC (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Paris Saint-Germain (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Paris Saint-Germain (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Rennes (your team)<1% (was <1%)
| Rennes (your team) |
|---|
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
| <1% |
Strasbourg (your team)1% (was 1%)
| Strasbourg (your team) |
|---|
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
Toulouse (your team)1% (was 5%)
| Toulouse (your team) |
|---|
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 1% |
| 4% |
| 4% |
| 5% |
| 5% |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Troyes | Le Havre | Le Mans | Angers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 69% | 46% | 35% | 35% |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 71% | 36% | 38% | 30% |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 67% | 38% | 39% | 30% |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 65% | 41% | 26% | 35% |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 60% | 43% | 26% | 37% |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 60% | 40% | 29% | 27% |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 61% | 40% | 27% | 26% |
Projected points
Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 80 at the top, 29 Sept to 22 Oct.
Paris Saint-Germain (your team)73 (was 71)
Monaco (your team)60 (was 62)
Le Mans (your team)32 (was 35)
Angers (your team)31 (was 34)
Le Havre (your team)29 (was 31)
Troyes (your team)25 (was 28)
Auxerre (your team)41 (was 39)
| Auxerre (your team) |
|---|
| 41 |
| 38 |
| 38 |
| 38 |
| 39 |
| 39 |
| 39 |
Brest (your team)43 (was 40)
| Brest (your team) |
|---|
| 43 |
| 44 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 40 |
| 40 |
Lens (your team)56 (was 52)
| Lens (your team) |
|---|
| 56 |
| 55 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
| 53 |
Lille (your team)58 (was 58)
| Lille (your team) |
|---|
| 58 |
| 58 |
| 59 |
| 59 |
| 59 |
| 58 |
| 58 |
Lorient (your team)44 (was 40)
| Lorient (your team) |
|---|
| 44 |
| 42 |
| 42 |
| 42 |
| 42 |
| 40 |
| 40 |
Lyon (your team)59 (was 59)
| Lyon (your team) |
|---|
| 59 |
| 57 |
| 57 |
| 57 |
| 57 |
| 57 |
| 59 |
Marseille (your team)55 (was 52)
| Marseille (your team) |
|---|
| 55 |
| 53 |
| 53 |
| 53 |
| 52 |
| 52 |
| 52 |
Nice (your team)42 (was 40)
| Nice (your team) |
|---|
| 42 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 41 |
| 41 |
| 41 |
Paris FC (your team)54 (was 54)
| Paris FC (your team) |
|---|
| 54 |
| 52 |
| 52 |
| 51 |
| 51 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
Rennes (your team)54 (was 54)
| Rennes (your team) |
|---|
| 54 |
| 56 |
| 56 |
| 56 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
| 54 |
Strasbourg (your team)47 (was 50)
| Strasbourg (your team) |
|---|
| 47 |
| 48 |
| 49 |
| 49 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
| 50 |
Toulouse (your team)46 (was 43)
| Toulouse (your team) |
|---|
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 46 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
| 43 |
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Paris Saint-Germain | Monaco | Le Mans | Angers | Le Havre | Troyes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 73 | 60 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 25 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 73 | 62 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 25 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 71 | 62 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 26 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 71 | 61 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 27 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 71 | 61 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 28 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 71 | 63 | 35 | 34 | 31 | 28 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 71 | 62 | 35 | 34 | 31 | 28 |