Ligue 1 2026-27

Updated 12 Nov, 08:49 UTC

Results up to 8 Nov

Table and chances

Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone. “<1%” means under half a percent: rare or never in the simulations, which is not the same as impossible.

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Chance shown

Ligue 1 table, with each team's chances from 10,000 simulated seasons
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Proj. pts	Range	Title	Top 4	Top 5	Top half	Play-off	Down
1, Win the title	Paris Saint-Germain (your team)	10	7	2	1	22	10	+12	23	75	67–83	83%	99%	>99%	>99%	<1%	<1%
2, Top four	Lille (your team)	10	6	3	1	14	7	+7	21	62	52–71	6%	67%	77%	97%	<1%	<1%
3, Top four	Paris FC (your team)	10	6	2	2	17	10	+7	20	57	47–67	3%	40%	53%	87%	<1%	<1%
4, Top four	Marseille (your team)	10	6	0	4	22	14	+8	18	59	50–68	4%	55%	67%	94%	<1%	<1%
5, Top five	Lyon (your team)	10	5	2	3	15	9	+6	17	56	46–65	2%	37%	50%	87%	<1%	<1%
6	Nice (your team)	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17	48	39–58	<1%	8%	14%	52%	<1%	<1%
7	Monaco (your team)	10	4	4	2	13	11	+2	16	56	47–65	1%	36%	48%	86%	<1%	<1%
8	Rennes (your team)	10	5	1	4	21	21	0	16	52	43–61	<1%	18%	28%	72%	<1%	<1%
9	Brest (your team)	10	4	3	3	18	12	+6	15	46	37–56	<1%	6%	9%	40%	1%	<1%
10	Lorient (your team)	10	4	3	3	9	8	+1	15	44	35–53	<1%	3%	5%	27%	2%	1%
11	Lens (your team)	10	4	1	5	17	15	+2	13	53	44–62	1%	23%	35%	78%	<1%	<1%
12	Toulouse (your team)	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13	45	36–54	<1%	3%	6%	33%	2%	1%
13	Strasbourg (your team)	10	3	1	6	18	22	−4	10	46	37–55	<1%	5%	8%	40%	1%	1%
14	Auxerre (your team)	10	3	1	6	13	24	−11	10	36	27–44	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%	14%	12%
15	Le Mans (your team)	10	1	5	4	12	19	−7	8	31	21–41	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	19%	34%
16, Finish in the relegation play-off place	Angers (your team)	10	2	2	6	9	19	−10	8	28	20–36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	22%	47%
17, Relegation to Ligue 2	Troyes (your team)	10	2	2	6	7	17	−10	8	29	20–38	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	21%	41%
18, Relegation to Ligue 2	Le Havre (your team)	10	0	2	8	9	22	−13	2	25	17–34	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	17%	63%

Win the title
Top four
Top five
Finish in the relegation play-off place
Relegation to Ligue 2
Thicker line: zone boundary

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons. Range: 80% of simulated seasons end between these totals.

Next matches

Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Fri 20 November

Troyes19:45Le Havre

Troyes win 38%Draw 29%Le Havre win 33%

Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sat 21 November

Nice16:15Paris Saint-Germain

Nice win 19%Draw 22%Paris Saint-Germain win 59%

Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.0–2.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Lens19:45Toulouse

Lens win 54%Draw 25%Toulouse win 21%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Lille win 45%Draw 28%Lyon win 27%

Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Monaco19:45Auxerre

Monaco win 62%Draw 21%Auxerre win 17%

Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.0

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Strasbourg19:45Brest

Strasbourg win 49%Draw 23%Brest win 28%

Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.9–1.4

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Sun 22 November

Paris FC14:00Angers

Paris FC win 64%Draw 23%Angers win 13%

Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Lorient16:15Rennes

Lorient win 36%Draw 25%Rennes win 39%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Marseille19:45Le Mans

Marseille win 72%Draw 17%Le Mans win 11%

Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

Fri 27 November

Brest19:45Paris FC

Brest win 37%Draw 26%Paris FC win 37%

Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4

UpcomingPrediction as of 12 Nov, 08:49 · locks at kick-off

All matches, and recent results

Finishing positions

Chance of each finishing position, in % of 10,000 simulated seasons. Blank means under 0.5%. Teams are ordered by their average finishing position.

Ligue 1: chance of each finishing position (%)
Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Paris Saint-Germain (your team)	83	11	3	1	1
Lille (your team)	6	27	19	14	10	8	6	4	3	2	1
Marseille (your team)	4	18	18	15	12	10	7	6	4	3	2	1
Paris FC (your team)	3	12	12	13	13	11	10	8	6	4	4	2	1
Lyon (your team)	2	10	13	13	12	11	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	1
Monaco (your team)	1	9	12	13	12	11	10	9	7	5	4	2	1	1
Lens (your team)	1	5	8	10	11	12	11	11	9	8	6	4	3	1
Rennes (your team)		4	6	8	10	11	12	11	11	9	7	6	4	1	1
Nice (your team)		2	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	11	10	8	4	2
Brest (your team)		1	2	3	4	5	7	9	10	13	13	13	11	7	3	1
Strasbourg (your team)		1	1	3	4	5	7	8	11	12	13	12	11	7	3	1
Toulouse (your team)			1	2	3	4	6	7	9	12	13	14	13	8	4	2	1
Lorient (your team)			1	2	2	3	5	6	8	10	14	15	16	10	5	2	1
Auxerre (your team)							1	1	2	3	5	8	13	22	19	14	8	4
Le Mans (your team)									1	1	2	4	7	13	19	19	18	16
Troyes (your team)										1	1	3	5	11	17	21	22	19
Angers (your team)											1	2	3	9	16	22	26	21
Le Havre (your team)												1	2	5	11	17	24	40

How the race has moved

Title chances

Teams whose title chance reached 10% at any point. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Title chances, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Paris Saint-Germain	Monaco
12 Nov	8 Nov	83%	1%
8 Nov	7 Nov	84%	2%
7 Nov	6 Nov	84%	2%
6 Nov	2 Nov	84%	2%
2 Nov	1 Nov	84%	2%
1 Nov	31 Oct	84%	4%
31 Oct	30 Oct	84%	3%
30 Oct	26 Oct	80%	5%
26 Oct	25 Oct	74%	5%
25 Oct	24 Oct	74%	7%
24 Oct	23 Oct	73%	7%
23 Oct	18 Oct	73%	7%
18 Oct	17 Oct	71%	11%
17 Oct	16 Oct	65%	12%
16 Oct	11 Oct	66%	12%
11 Oct	10 Oct	65%	12%
10 Oct	9 Oct	61%	15%
9 Oct	20 Sept	62%	14%

Relegation chances (17th–18th)

Chance of finishing 17th–18th, for teams whose chance reached 20% at any point. The play-off place (16th) is not included. Each panel runs from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Relegation chances (17th–18th), after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Le Havre	Angers	Troyes	Le Mans
12 Nov	8 Nov	63%	47%	41%	34%
8 Nov	7 Nov	55%	40%	45%	40%
7 Nov	6 Nov	53%	40%	48%	42%
6 Nov	2 Nov	53%	39%	49%	42%
2 Nov	1 Nov	54%	40%	48%	41%
1 Nov	31 Oct	56%	36%	50%	42%
31 Oct	30 Oct	55%	35%	64%	31%
30 Oct	26 Oct	48%	37%	65%	33%
26 Oct	25 Oct	48%	36%	65%	33%
25 Oct	24 Oct	45%	35%	69%	36%
24 Oct	23 Oct	45%	36%	69%	35%
23 Oct	18 Oct	45%	36%	69%	36%
18 Oct	17 Oct	36%	30%	71%	38%
17 Oct	16 Oct	38%	30%	67%	39%
16 Oct	11 Oct	41%	35%	65%	26%
11 Oct	10 Oct	43%	37%	60%	26%
10 Oct	9 Oct	40%	27%	60%	29%
9 Oct	20 Sept	40%	26%	61%	27%

Projected points

Average final points across the simulated seasons, for the teams in the two charts above. Each panel runs from 20 points at the bottom to 80 at the top, 29 Sept to 12 Nov.

Show the numbers

Projected points, after each round of results (newest first)
Updated	Results up to	Paris Saint-Germain	Monaco	Le Mans	Troyes	Angers	Le Havre
12 Nov	8 Nov	75	56	31	29	28	25
8 Nov	7 Nov	75	57	30	29	30	27
7 Nov	6 Nov	75	57	30	28	30	27
6 Nov	2 Nov	75	57	30	28	30	27
2 Nov	1 Nov	75	57	30	29	30	27
1 Nov	31 Oct	75	59	30	29	31	27
31 Oct	30 Oct	75	59	32	26	31	27
30 Oct	26 Oct	74	59	32	26	31	28
26 Oct	25 Oct	73	59	32	26	31	28
25 Oct	24 Oct	73	59	32	25	31	29
24 Oct	23 Oct	73	60	32	25	31	29
23 Oct	18 Oct	73	60	31	25	31	29
18 Oct	17 Oct	73	62	31	25	32	31
17 Oct	16 Oct	71	62	31	26	32	31
16 Oct	11 Oct	71	61	35	27	32	31
11 Oct	10 Oct	71	61	35	28	32	31
10 Oct	9 Oct	71	63	35	28	34	31
9 Oct	20 Sept	71	62	35	28	34	31