Sevilla win 48%Draw 26%Osasuna win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Sevilla (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 6th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 14
- won 4, drawn 2, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 52
- range 42–63
- Goals
- 14–16
- difference −2
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 5%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 14%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 66%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 2%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 7th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 4% | Top four |
| 5th | 9% | Top five |
| 6th | 11% | |
| 7th | 11% | |
| 8th | 11% | |
| 9th | 10% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 6% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 4% | |
| 15th | 4% | |
| 16th | 3% | |
| 17th | 2% | |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
| 19th | 1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Sevilla's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)5% (was 6%)
Relegation (18th–20th)2% (was 2%)
Projected points52 (was 53)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 5% | 2% | 52 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 5% | 2% | 52 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 5% | 2% | 52 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 7% | 2% | 53 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 53 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 53 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 53 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 7% | 2% | 53 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 7% | 2% | 53 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 6% | 2% | 53 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Mon 26 October
Sun 1 November
Getafe win 38%Draw 33%Sevilla win 29%
Most likely 0–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.0–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fri 6 November
Sevilla win 46%Draw 27%Alavés win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Real Madrid win 75% (what happened)Draw 16%Sevilla win 9%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.5–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Mon 12 October
Levante win 45%Draw 25% (what happened)Sevilla win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.3
Full timePrediction made