Celta Vigo win 42%Draw 26%Real Betis win 32%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 4th (38%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 3% | Top four |
| 3rd | 14% | Top four |
| 4th | 38% | Top four |
| 5th | 19% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Real Betis's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)55% (was 51%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points66 (was 65)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 55% | <1% | 66 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 53% | <1% | 65 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 53% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 54% | <1% | 65 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 59% | <1% | 67 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 58% | <1% | 67 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 1% | 58% | <1% | 67 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 50% | <1% | 65 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 51% | <1% | 65 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 50% | <1% | 65 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Celta Vigo win 42%Draw 26%Real Betis win 32%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Real Betis win 73%Draw 17%Málaga win 10%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.4–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Elche win 34%Draw 26%Real Betis win 40%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Real Betis win 24%Draw 22%Barcelona win 54% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.3–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Real Betis win 58% (what happened)Draw 23%Osasuna win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9
Full timePrediction made