Sevilla win 35%Draw 26%Real Betis win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 4th (47%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 2% | Top four |
| 3rd | 15% | Top four |
| 4th | 47% | Top four |
| 5th | 19% | Top five |
| 6th | 9% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Real Betis's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)64% (was 51%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points68 (was 65)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 64% | <1% | 68 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 57% | <1% | 66 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 56% | <1% | 66 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 55% | <1% | 66 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 55% | <1% | 66 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 54% | <1% | 65 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 52% | <1% | 65 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 49% | <1% | 65 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 50% | <1% | 65 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 52% | <1% | 65 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 54% | <1% | 65 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 54% | <1% | 65 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 53% | <1% | 65 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 53% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 54% | <1% | 65 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 59% | <1% | 67 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 58% | <1% | 67 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 1% | 58% | <1% | 67 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 50% | <1% | 65 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 51% | <1% | 65 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 50% | <1% | 65 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sevilla win 35%Draw 26%Real Betis win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Real Betis win 56%Draw 25%Rayo Vallecano win 19%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Atlético Madrid win 57%Draw 23%Real Betis win 20%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Elche win 35%Draw 26%Real Betis win 39% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Real Betis win 71% (what happened)Draw 18%Málaga win 11%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.3–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Celta Vigo win 42%Draw 26% (what happened)Real Betis win 32%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Real Betis win 24%Draw 22%Barcelona win 54% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.3–2.1
Full timePrediction made