Alavés win 60%Draw 23%Málaga win 17%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Málaga (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 20th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 4
- won 0, drawn 4, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 29
- range 19–39
- Goals
- 6–18
- difference −12
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- <1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 1%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 81%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 20th (50%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 3% | |
| 16th | 4% | |
| 17th | 6% | |
| 18th | 10% | Relegation |
| 19th | 21% | Relegation |
| 20th | 50% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Málaga's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 20 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)81% (was 70%)
Projected points29 (was 32)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | <1% | 81% | 29 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 81% | 29 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 81% | 29 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 70% | 32 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 71% | 32 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 70% | 32 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 69% | 32 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 71% | 32 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 71% | 32 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 70% | 32 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 23 October
Sat 31 October
Real Betis win 73%Draw 17%Málaga win 10%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.4–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Málaga win 46%Draw 24%Racing Santander win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Málaga win 29%Draw 27%Real Sociedad win 44% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Fri 9 October
Málaga win 34%Draw 28% (what happened)Espanyol win 38%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.2
Full timePrediction made