Alavés win 48%Draw 28%Deportivo La Coruña win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Alavés (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 12th
- after 12 played
- Points
- 13
- won 3, drawn 4, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 44
- range 35–54
- Goals
- 15–17
- difference −2
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 2%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 30%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 13%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 11th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 8% | |
| 17th | 7% | |
| 18th | 7% | Relegation |
| 19th | 4% | Relegation |
| 20th | 2% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Alavés's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 3%)
Relegation (18th–20th)13% (was 6%)
Projected points44 (was 49)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 13% | 44 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 13% | 44 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 12% | 44 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 1% | 13% | 44 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 1% | 13% | 44 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 12% | 44 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 45 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 45 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 45 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 46 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 10% | 46 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 47 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 47 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 3% | 6% | 49 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 3% | 6% | 49 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sat 28 November
Real Madrid win 78%Draw 15%Alavés win 7%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.5–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Alavés win 44%Draw 29%Espanyol win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.0Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 6 November
Sevilla win 48%Draw 26% (what happened)Alavés win 26%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Barcelona win 82% (what happened)Draw 12%Alavés win 6%
Kick-off Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.0–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Fri 23 October
Alavés win 60%Draw 23% (what happened)Málaga win 17%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Celta Vigo win 50% (what happened)Draw 27%Alavés win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made