Valencia win 30%Draw 26%Villarreal win 44%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Villarreal (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 14th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 9
- won 2, drawn 3, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 58
- range 47–68
- Goals
- 13–13
- difference 0
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 16%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 34%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 85%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 5th (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | 13% | Top four |
| 5th | 18% | Top five |
| 6th | 16% | |
| 7th | 12% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 6% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 2% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | 1% | |
| 17th | 1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Villarreal's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)16% (was 25%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points58 (was 60)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 15% | <1% | 58 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 59 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | 59 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 59 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 22% | <1% | 59 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 25% | <1% | 60 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 25% | <1% | 60 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Fri 30 October
Villarreal win 63%Draw 21%Espanyol win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Villarreal win 59%Draw 26%Getafe win 15%
Most likely 1–0 (16%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Villarreal win 67%Draw 18% (what happened)Elche win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Real Madrid win 66% (what happened)Draw 18%Villarreal win 16%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
Full timePrediction made