Barcelona win 74%Draw 15%Villarreal win 11%
Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 3.0–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Villarreal (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 9th
- after 12 played
- Points
- 15
- won 4, drawn 3, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 58
- range 48–67
- Goals
- 17–15
- difference +2
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 13%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 35%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 90%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 5th (21%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | 11% | Top four |
| 5th | 21% | Top five |
| 6th | 19% | |
| 7th | 14% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 5% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 2% | |
| 13th | 2% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Villarreal's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)13% (was 25%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points58 (was 60)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 13% | <1% | 58 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 13% | <1% | 57 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 13% | <1% | 57 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 12% | <1% | 57 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 12% | <1% | 57 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 11% | <1% | 56 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 12% | <1% | 57 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 59 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | 59 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 21% | <1% | 59 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 16% | 1% | 58 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 15% | <1% | 58 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 16% | <1% | 58 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 59 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | 59 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 59 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 22% | <1% | 59 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 25% | <1% | 60 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 25% | <1% | 60 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sun 29 November
Celta Vigo win 37%Draw 26%Villarreal win 37%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Villarreal win 58%Draw 21%Real Sociedad win 21%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.2Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Villarreal win 59% (what happened)Draw 25%Getafe win 16%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.7–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Fri 30 October
Villarreal win 64%Draw 21%Espanyol win 15% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Valencia win 30%Draw 26%Villarreal win 44% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Villarreal win 67%Draw 18% (what happened)Elche win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made