Rayo Vallecano win 47%Draw 27%Elche win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Elche (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 21 Oct
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 18th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 7
- won 1, drawn 4, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 43
- range 33–54
- Goals
- 11–17
- difference −6
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 2%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 24%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 18%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 16th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 3% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 5% | |
| 10th | 6% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 9% | |
| 18th | 9% | Relegation |
| 19th | 6% | Relegation |
| 20th | 3% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Elche's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)18% (was 22%)
Projected points43 (was 43)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 1% | 18% | 43 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 17% | 43 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 17% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 19% | 43 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 23% | 43 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sun 1 November
Elche win 45%Draw 27%Valencia win 28%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Elche win 34%Draw 26%Real Betis win 40%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Villarreal win 67%Draw 18% (what happened)Elche win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Elche win 39%Draw 25% (what happened)Celta Vigo win 36%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.4
Full timePrediction made