Levante win 47%Draw 25%Elche win 28%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Elche (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 18th
- after 12 played
- Points
- 10
- won 2, drawn 4, lost 6
- Proj. pts
- 43
- range 33–52
- Goals
- 14–20
- difference −6
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 24%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 20%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 17th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 3% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 8% | |
| 17th | 9% | |
| 18th | 9% | Relegation |
| 19th | 8% | Relegation |
| 20th | 3% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Elche's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)20% (was 22%)
Projected points43 (was 43)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 20% | 43 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 1% | 14% | 45 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 1% | 13% | 45 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 47 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 2% | 9% | 47 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 18% | 43 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 1% | 17% | 43 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 17% | 43 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 17% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 19% | 43 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 22% | 42 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 23% | 43 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 22% | 43 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Mon 23 November
Sat 28 November
Elche win 23%Draw 25%Atlético Madrid win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Osasuna win 44%Draw 27%Elche win 29%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Elche win 35%Draw 26%Real Betis win 39% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Elche win 48%Draw 26%Valencia win 26% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Rayo Vallecano win 47%Draw 27%Elche win 26% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Villarreal win 67%Draw 18% (what happened)Elche win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made