Athletic Bilbao (your team)

La Liga 2026-27

Updated

Results up to 21 Oct

Note

Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 10 Oct). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.

Now and projected

Position
15th
after 8 played
Points
9
won 2, drawn 3, lost 3
Proj. pts
52
range 42–63
Goals
8–9
difference −1

Chances

Title
<1%
1st
Top four
6%
1st–4th
Top five
15%
1st–5th
Top half
65%
1st–10th
Relegation
2%
18th–20th

Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.

Finishing position

Most likely: 7th (11%)

Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.

  • Title (1st)
  • Top four (1st–4th)
  • Top five (1st–5th)
  • Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
Athletic Bilbao: chance of each finishing position
PositionChanceZone
1st<1%Title
2nd<1%Top four
3rd1%Top four
4th5%Top four
5th9%Top five
6th11%
7th11%
8th10%
9th10%
10th9%
11th7%
12th7%
13th5%
14th5%
15th3%
16th3%
17th2%
18th1%Relegation
19th1%Relegation
20th<1%Relegation

Chances over time

Athletic Bilbao's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.

  • Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)

  • Top four (1st–4th)6% (was 10%)

  • Relegation (18th–20th)2% (was 2%)

  • Projected points52 (was 55)

Show the numbers
Athletic Bilbao: chances after each round of results (newest first)
UpdatedResults up toTitleTop fourRelegationProj. pts
22 Oct21 Oct<1%6%2%52
21 Oct19 Oct<1%10%1%55
19 Oct18 Oct<1%9%2%55
18 Oct17 Oct<1%10%2%54
17 Oct16 Oct<1%10%1%55
16 Oct12 Oct<1%10%2%55
12 Oct11 Oct<1%10%2%55
11 Oct10 Oct<1%10%2%54
10 Oct9 Oct<1%11%2%55
9 Oct20 Sept<1%11%2%55

Next matches

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Sat 10 October

Rayo Vallecano win 38%Draw 30%Athletic Bilbao win 32%

Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.0

CancelledPrediction as of · nothing locks until the match is rescheduled

An earlier prediction (made ) was voided: cancelled. It won't be scored.

Sun 25 October

Sun 1 November

Sat 7 November

Recent matches

Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.

Wed 21 October

Levante win 37% (what happened)Draw 27%Athletic Bilbao win 36%

Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3

Full timePrediction made

Sat 17 October

Valencia win 36%Draw 29% (what happened)Athletic Bilbao win 35%

Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1

Full timePrediction made

Sat 10 October

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