Athletic Bilbao win 53%Draw 27%Espanyol win 20%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.5–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Athletic Bilbao (your team)
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Now and projected
- Position
- 7th
- after 11 played
- Points
- 16
- won 4, drawn 4, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 56
- range 46–65
- Goals
- 15–11
- difference +4
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 9%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 24%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 84%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 6th (17%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 8% | Top four |
| 5th | 15% | Top five |
| 6th | 17% | |
| 7th | 15% | |
| 8th | 12% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 5% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | 1% | |
| 17th | 1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Athletic Bilbao's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)9% (was 10%)
Relegation (18th–20th)1% (was 2%)
Projected points56 (was 55)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 9% | 1% | 56 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 11% | <1% | 56 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 12% | 1% | 56 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 12% | 1% | 56 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 12% | 1% | 56 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 9% | 1% | 55 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 10% | 1% | 55 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 9% | 1% | 55 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 9% | 1% | 55 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 5% | 3% | 52 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 52 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 53 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 10% | 1% | 55 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 9% | 2% | 55 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 10% | 2% | 54 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 10% | 1% | 55 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 10% | 2% | 55 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 10% | 2% | 55 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 10% | 2% | 54 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 11% | 2% | 55 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 11% | 2% | 55 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 20 November
Sat 28 November
Málaga win 24%Draw 27%Athletic Bilbao win 49%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Athletic Bilbao win 23%Draw 26%Real Madrid win 51%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.6Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 9 December
Rayo Vallecano win 36%Draw 30%Athletic Bilbao win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
CancelledPrediction as of · nothing locks until the match is rescheduled
An earlier prediction (made ) was voided: cancelled. It won't be scored.
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Osasuna win 34%Draw 29% (what happened)Athletic Bilbao win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Athletic Bilbao win 48% (what happened)Draw 26%Real Sociedad win 26%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Athletic Bilbao win 47% (what happened)Draw 33%Getafe win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (19%)Expected goals 1.1–0.6
Full timePrediction made
Wed 21 October
Levante win 37% (what happened)Draw 27%Athletic Bilbao win 36%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Valencia win 36%Draw 29% (what happened)Athletic Bilbao win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made