Racing Santander win 29%Draw 23%Real Sociedad win 48%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.4–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
La Liga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Note
Cancelled: Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao (listed for 09 Dec). It is still simulated as a match to be played (assumption: cancelled matches are almost always replayed). Any locked prediction for it is voided and not scored. If it is scrapped or awarded instead, it goes into configs/awarded_results.yaml.
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 19th (21%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 6% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 11% | |
| 18th | 14% | Relegation |
| 19th | 21% | Relegation |
| 20th | 10% | Relegation |
Racing Santander's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)45% (was 57%)
Projected points37 (was 35)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 45% | 37 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 46% | 37 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 61% | 35 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 60% | 35 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 60% | 35 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 52% | 36 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 53% | 36 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | <1% | 52% | 36 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 53% | 36 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 53% | 36 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 64% | 33 |
| 23 Oct | 21 Oct | <1% | <1% | 65% | 33 |
| 21 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 64% | 33 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 64% | 33 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 56% | 36 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 57% | 35 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Racing Santander win 29%Draw 23%Real Sociedad win 48%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.4–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Levante win 62%Draw 20%Racing Santander win 18%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Racing Santander win 39%Draw 26%Deportivo La Coruña win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.4Time to be confirmed
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Málaga win 47%Draw 24%Racing Santander win 29% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Racing Santander win 10%Draw 15%Real Madrid win 75% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (9%)Expected goals 0.9–2.8
Full timePrediction made
Racing Santander win 34% (what happened)Draw 25%Espanyol win 41%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Osasuna win 59% (what happened)Draw 21%Racing Santander win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made