Hull City win 23%Draw 26%Brighton & Hove Albion win 51%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 3rd (28%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4% | Title |
| 2nd | 18% | Top four |
| 3rd | 28% | Top four |
| 4th | 23% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 6% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Brighton & Hove Albion's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)4% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)73% (was 36%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points69 (was 61)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 4% | 73% | <1% | 69 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 3% | 64% | <1% | 67 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 3% | 64% | <1% | 67 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 3% | 63% | <1% | 67 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 3% | 63% | <1% | 67 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 3% | 63% | <1% | 67 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | 1% | 52% | <1% | 64 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 3% | 59% | <1% | 66 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 2% | 58% | <1% | 66 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 2% | 58% | <1% | 66 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 59% | <1% | 66 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 48% | <1% | 63 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 49% | <1% | 63 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 2% | 45% | <1% | 63 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 36% | <1% | 61 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Hull City win 23%Draw 26%Brighton & Hove Albion win 51%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Brighton & Hove Albion win 52%Draw 24%Newcastle United win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bournemouth win 36%Draw 26%Brighton & Hove Albion win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Nottingham Forest win 31%Draw 27%Brighton & Hove Albion win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Brighton & Hove Albion win 48% (what happened)Draw 25%Brentford win 27%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Manchester City win 60%Draw 22%Brighton & Hove Albion win 18% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Liverpool win 48% (what happened)Draw 24%Brighton & Hove Albion win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Brighton & Hove Albion win 54% (what happened)Draw 25%Crystal Palace win 21%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made