Newcastle United win 20%Draw 26%Arsenal win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Arsenal (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 1st
- after 10 played
- Points
- 27
- won 9, drawn 0, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 84
- range 75–94
- Goals
- 15–5
- difference +10
Chances
- Title
- 70%
- 1st
- Top four
- 99%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- >99%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 1st (70%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 75%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 70% | Title |
| 2nd | 21% | Top four |
| 3rd | 6% | Top four |
| 4th | 2% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Arsenal's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 90.
Title (1st)70% (was 34%)
Top four (1st–4th)99% (was 96%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points84 (was 79)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 70% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 72% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 62% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 61% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 62% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 54% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | 46% | 99% | <1% | 82 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 48% | 99% | <1% | 82 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 36% | 98% | <1% | 81 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 36% | 98% | <1% | 81 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 35% | 98% | <1% | 81 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 31% | 97% | <1% | 80 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 31% | 97% | <1% | 80 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 38% | 96% | <1% | 80 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 36% | 95% | <1% | 79 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Arsenal win 46%Draw 28%Manchester City win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Brentford win 21%Draw 27%Arsenal win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.9–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Tottenham Hotspur win 17%Draw 25%Arsenal win 58%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Arsenal win 75% (what happened)Draw 18%Hull City win 7%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (15%)Expected goals 2.2–0.6
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Liverpool win 30%Draw 28%Arsenal win 42% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Arsenal win 65% (what happened)Draw 24%Everton win 11%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (16%)Expected goals 1.8–0.6
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Nottingham Forest win 18%Draw 27%Arsenal win 55% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.6
Full timePrediction made