Arsenal win 65%Draw 24%Everton win 11%
Most likely 1–0 (16%)Expected goals 1.8–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Arsenal (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 2nd
- after 7 played
- Points
- 18
- won 6, drawn 0, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 81
- range 71–91
- Goals
- 11–5
- difference +6
Chances
- Title
- 37%
- 1st
- Top four
- 98%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 99%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 2nd (45%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 37% | Title |
| 2nd | 45% | Top four |
| 3rd | 12% | Top four |
| 4th | 4% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Arsenal's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 90.
Title (1st)37% (was 34%)
Top four (1st–4th)98% (was 96%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points81 (was 79)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 37% | 98% | <1% | 81 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 35% | 98% | <1% | 81 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 31% | 97% | <1% | 80 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 31% | 97% | <1% | 80 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 38% | 96% | <1% | 80 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 36% | 95% | <1% | 79 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sun 1 November
Liverpool win 29%Draw 28%Arsenal win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Arsenal win 74%Draw 18%Hull City win 8%
Most likely 2–0 (15%)Expected goals 2.2–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Nottingham Forest win 18%Draw 27%Arsenal win 55% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Arsenal win 66% (what happened)Draw 22%Leeds United win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made