Liverpool win 48%Draw 24%Brighton & Hove Albion win 28%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Liverpool (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 5th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 12
- won 3, drawn 3, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 66
- range 56–77
- Goals
- 9–8
- difference +1
Chances
- Title
- 2%
- 1st
- Top four
- 58%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 73%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 97%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 3rd (26%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2% | Title |
| 2nd | 8% | Top four |
| 3rd | 26% | Top four |
| 4th | 21% | Top four |
| 5th | 15% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Liverpool's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)2% (was 4%)
Top four (1st–4th)58% (was 62%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points66 (was 67)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 2% | 58% | <1% | 66 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 57% | <1% | 66 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 2% | 60% | <1% | 66 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 52% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 4% | 60% | <1% | 67 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 4% | 62% | <1% | 67 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sun 1 November
Liverpool win 29%Draw 28%Arsenal win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Crystal Palace win 25%Draw 25%Liverpool win 50%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Brentford win 35%Draw 25%Liverpool win 40% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Liverpool win 32%Draw 26%Manchester City win 42% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.7
Full timePrediction made