Liverpool win 57%Draw 22%Manchester United win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 3rd (26%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4% | Title |
| 2nd | 14% | Top four |
| 3rd | 26% | Top four |
| 4th | 24% | Top four |
| 5th | 14% | Top five |
| 6th | 8% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Liverpool's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)4% (was 4%)
Top four (1st–4th)68% (was 62%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points68 (was 67)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 4% | 68% | <1% | 68 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 3% | 61% | <1% | 67 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 2% | 60% | <1% | 67 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 2% | 61% | <1% | 67 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 2% | 60% | <1% | 67 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 5% | 65% | <1% | 68 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | 3% | 69% | <1% | 68 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 2% | 59% | <1% | 66 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 2% | 59% | <1% | 66 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 2% | 57% | <1% | 66 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 57% | <1% | 66 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 2% | 60% | <1% | 66 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 52% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 4% | 60% | <1% | 67 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 4% | 62% | <1% | 67 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Liverpool win 57%Draw 22%Manchester United win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Everton win 27%Draw 28%Liverpool win 45%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Liverpool win 63%Draw 22%Sunderland win 15%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.0–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Chelsea win 35%Draw 25%Liverpool win 40%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Crystal Palace win 23%Draw 25%Liverpool win 52% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Liverpool win 30%Draw 28%Arsenal win 42% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Liverpool win 48% (what happened)Draw 24%Brighton & Hove Albion win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Brentford win 35%Draw 25%Liverpool win 40% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6
Full timePrediction made