Chelsea win 54%Draw 23%Tottenham Hotspur win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Chelsea (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 4th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 13
- won 4, drawn 1, lost 2
- Proj. pts
- 61
- range 50–73
- Goals
- 17–13
- difference +4
Chances
- Title
- 1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 35%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 51%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 90%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 4th (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1% | Title |
| 2nd | 3% | Top four |
| 3rd | 13% | Top four |
| 4th | 18% | Top four |
| 5th | 16% | Top five |
| 6th | 13% | |
| 7th | 9% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 3% | |
| 12th | 2% | |
| 13th | 2% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Chelsea's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)35% (was 19%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points61 (was 57)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 1% | 35% | <1% | 61 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 34% | <1% | 61 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 36% | <1% | 61 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 29% | 1% | 59 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 26% | <1% | 59 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 17% | 1% | 56 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sat 31 October
Chelsea win 45%Draw 25%Manchester United win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Sunderland win 29%Draw 27%Chelsea win 44%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Everton win 34%Draw 28%Chelsea win 38% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Chelsea win 46% (what happened)Draw 25%Bournemouth win 29%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3
Full timePrediction made