Chelsea win 50%Draw 26%Leeds United win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Chelsea (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 5th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 16
- won 5, drawn 1, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 59
- range 49–69
- Goals
- 19–16
- difference +3
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 20%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 36%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 86%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 5th (16%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 2% | Top four |
| 3rd | 6% | Top four |
| 4th | 12% | Top four |
| 5th | 16% | Top five |
| 6th | 14% | |
| 7th | 12% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 3% | |
| 13th | 2% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | 1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Chelsea's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)20% (was 19%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points59 (was 57)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 20% | <1% | 59 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 1% | 30% | <1% | 61 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 30% | <1% | 61 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 1% | 29% | <1% | 61 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 1% | 30% | <1% | 61 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 1% | 28% | <1% | 61 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 24% | <1% | 59 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 24% | 1% | 59 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 1% | 34% | <1% | 61 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 1% | 34% | <1% | 61 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 34% | <1% | 61 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 36% | <1% | 61 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 1% | 29% | 1% | 59 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 26% | <1% | 59 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 17% | 1% | 56 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Fri 27 November
Nottingham Forest win 35%Draw 27%Chelsea win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Chelsea win 58%Draw 23%Crystal Palace win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 2.0–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Chelsea win 35%Draw 25%Liverpool win 40%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Sunderland win 28% (what happened)Draw 27%Chelsea win 45%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Chelsea win 46% (what happened)Draw 25%Manchester United win 29%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Chelsea win 54%Draw 23%Tottenham Hotspur win 23% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Everton win 34%Draw 28%Chelsea win 38% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3
Full timePrediction made