Bournemouth win 46%Draw 27%Nottingham Forest win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 7th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 3% | Top four |
| 4th | 6% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 11% | |
| 7th | 12% | |
| 8th | 11% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 4% | |
| 15th | 3% | |
| 16th | 2% | |
| 17th | 1% | |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Bournemouth's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)10% (was 5%)
Relegation (18th–20th)1% (was 6%)
Projected points55 (was 50)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 10% | 1% | 55 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 8% | 2% | 54 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 9% | 2% | 54 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 9% | 2% | 54 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 8% | 2% | 54 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 8% | 2% | 54 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 7% | 3% | 52 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 3% | 7% | 49 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 3% | 7% | 49 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 3% | 8% | 49 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 3% | 8% | 49 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 13% | 47 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 3% | 12% | 47 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 10% | 47 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 5% | 6% | 50 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Bournemouth win 46%Draw 27%Nottingham Forest win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fulham win 37%Draw 28%Bournemouth win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bournemouth win 36%Draw 26%Brighton & Hove Albion win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bournemouth win 56%Draw 25%Hull City win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Ipswich Town win 24%Draw 24%Bournemouth win 52% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.9
Full timePrediction made
Bournemouth win 45% (what happened)Draw 27%Leeds United win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Manchester United win 48%Draw 25%Bournemouth win 27% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Bournemouth win 47% (what happened)Draw 27%Sunderland win 26%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made