Sunderland win 35%Draw 30%Leeds United win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Sunderland (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 20th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 4
- won 1, drawn 1, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 40
- range 29–52
- Goals
- 6–14
- difference −8
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 14%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 34%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 19th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 6% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 10% | |
| 17th | 11% | |
| 18th | 11% | Relegation |
| 19th | 12% | Relegation |
| 20th | 11% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Sunderland's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 2%)
Relegation (18th–20th)34% (was 17%)
Projected points40 (was 45)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 34% | 40 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 35% | 40 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 42 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 28% | 42 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 25% | 42 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 18% | 45 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sat 31 October
Coventry City win 31%Draw 30%Sunderland win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Sunderland win 29%Draw 27%Chelsea win 44%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Bournemouth win 47% (what happened)Draw 27%Sunderland win 26%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Sunderland win 31%Draw 28%Brighton & Hove Albion win 41% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
Full timePrediction made