Aston Villa win 53%Draw 26%Sunderland win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sunderland (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 19th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 8
- won 2, drawn 2, lost 6
- Proj. pts
- 40
- range 29–51
- Goals
- 8–17
- difference −9
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 10%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 36%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 18th (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 6% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 11% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 13% | Relegation |
| 19th | 12% | Relegation |
| 20th | 10% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Sunderland's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 2%)
Relegation (18th–20th)36% (was 17%)
Projected points40 (was 45)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 36% | 40 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 48% | 37 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 47% | 37 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 47% | 37 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 47% | 37 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 46% | 37 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 40 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 35% | 40 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 34% | 40 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 34% | 40 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 35% | 40 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 42 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 28% | 42 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 25% | 42 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 18% | 45 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Sunderland win 35%Draw 29%Tottenham Hotspur win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Liverpool win 63%Draw 22%Sunderland win 15%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.0–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Newcastle United win 52%Draw 26%Sunderland win 22%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Sunderland win 28% (what happened)Draw 27%Chelsea win 45%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Coventry City win 30% (what happened)Draw 31%Sunderland win 39%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.0–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Sunderland win 35%Draw 30% (what happened)Leeds United win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Bournemouth win 47% (what happened)Draw 27%Sunderland win 26%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
Full timePrediction made