Sunderland win 35%Draw 30%Leeds United win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 10th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | 4% | Top four |
| 5th | 6% | Top five |
| 6th | 8% | |
| 7th | 9% | |
| 8th | 9% | |
| 9th | 8% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 7% | |
| 13th | 7% | |
| 14th | 5% | |
| 15th | 5% | |
| 16th | 4% | |
| 17th | 3% | |
| 18th | 3% | Relegation |
| 19th | 2% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Leeds United's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)7% (was 10%)
Relegation (18th–20th)5% (was 4%)
Projected points51 (was 52)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 9% | 6% | 52 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 9% | 5% | 52 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 8% | 4% | 52 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 9% | 4% | 52 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sunderland win 35%Draw 30%Leeds United win 35%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bournemouth win 44%Draw 27%Leeds United win 29%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Leeds United win 45%Draw 26%Tottenham Hotspur win 29%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Leeds United win 36%Draw 27% (what happened)Manchester United win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Arsenal win 66% (what happened)Draw 22%Leeds United win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made