Chelsea win 50%Draw 26%Leeds United win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 9th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 3% | Top four |
| 5th | 5% | Top five |
| 6th | 7% | |
| 7th | 7% | |
| 8th | 9% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 6% | |
| 16th | 5% | |
| 17th | 4% | |
| 18th | 2% | Relegation |
| 19th | 2% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Leeds United's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)4% (was 10%)
Relegation (18th–20th)4% (was 4%)
Projected points50 (was 52)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 4% | 4% | 50 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 4% | 4% | 50 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 3% | 8% | 48 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 3% | 8% | 48 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 3% | 8% | 48 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 3% | 7% | 48 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 6% | 5% | 51 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 7% | 5% | 51 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 9% | 6% | 52 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 9% | 5% | 52 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 8% | 4% | 52 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 9% | 4% | 52 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Chelsea win 50%Draw 26%Leeds United win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Leeds United win 56%Draw 25%Coventry City win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Manchester City win 66%Draw 21%Leeds United win 13%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Leeds United win 59%Draw 23%Ipswich Town win 18%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Leeds United win 41% (what happened)Draw 27%Tottenham Hotspur win 32%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Bournemouth win 45% (what happened)Draw 27%Leeds United win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sunderland win 35%Draw 30% (what happened)Leeds United win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Leeds United win 36%Draw 27% (what happened)Manchester United win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made