Aston Villa win 22%Draw 24%Manchester City win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Aston Villa (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 12th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 8
- won 2, drawn 2, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 53
- range 42–64
- Goals
- 7–11
- difference −4
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 8%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 16%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 63%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 3%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 7th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | 5% | Top four |
| 5th | 8% | Top five |
| 6th | 9% | |
| 7th | 11% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 10% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 7% | |
| 13th | 6% | |
| 14th | 5% | |
| 15th | 4% | |
| 16th | 3% | |
| 17th | 2% | |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
| 19th | 1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Aston Villa's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)8% (was 7%)
Relegation (18th–20th)3% (was 4%)
Projected points53 (was 51)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 8% | 3% | 53 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 9% | 3% | 53 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 9% | 3% | 53 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 6% | 6% | 50 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 5% | 4% | 51 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 7% | 4% | 52 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sat 31 October
Aston Villa win 48%Draw 27%Fulham win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Manchester United win 44%Draw 26%Aston Villa win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Newcastle United win 44%Draw 25%Aston Villa win 31% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Aston Villa win 41%Draw 26% (what happened)Brentford win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
Full timePrediction made