Coventry City win 34%Draw 27%Crystal Palace win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 18th (15%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 3% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 11% | |
| 17th | 13% | |
| 18th | 15% | Relegation |
| 19th | 14% | Relegation |
| 20th | 13% | Relegation |
Crystal Palace's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)42% (was 19%)
Projected points38 (was 44)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 42% | 38 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 36% | 40 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 33% | 40 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 35% | 40 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 34% | 40 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 33% | 40 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 41 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 43 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 20% | 43 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 43 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 20% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 15% | 46 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 15% | 46 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 18% | 44 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 19% | 44 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Coventry City win 34%Draw 27%Crystal Palace win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Crystal Palace win 45%Draw 28%Hull City win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Chelsea win 58%Draw 23%Crystal Palace win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 2.0–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Aston Villa win 55%Draw 24%Crystal Palace win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Crystal Palace win 23%Draw 25%Liverpool win 52% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Tottenham Hotspur win 47% (what happened)Draw 26%Crystal Palace win 27%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Crystal Palace win 35%Draw 26%Newcastle United win 39% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Brighton & Hove Albion win 54% (what happened)Draw 25%Crystal Palace win 21%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made