Newcastle United win 20%Draw 26%Arsenal win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Newcastle United (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 12th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 12
- won 3, drawn 3, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 51
- range 41–61
- Goals
- 13–16
- difference −3
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 3%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 9%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 51%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 4%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 10th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 2% | Top four |
| 5th | 5% | Top five |
| 6th | 7% | |
| 7th | 9% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 10% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 5% | |
| 16th | 5% | |
| 17th | 3% | |
| 18th | 2% | Relegation |
| 19th | 1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Newcastle United's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)3% (was 17%)
Relegation (18th–20th)4% (was 1%)
Projected points51 (was 56)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 3% | 4% | 51 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 4% | 4% | 51 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 5% | 3% | 51 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 4% | 3% | 51 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 8% | 2% | 53 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 7% | 2% | 53 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 8% | 2% | 53 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 6% | 4% | 51 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 5% | 4% | 51 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 6% | 4% | 51 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 5% | 4% | 51 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 6% | 5% | 51 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 10% | 3% | 53 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 17% | 1% | 56 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 19% | 1% | 57 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Brighton & Hove Albion win 52%Draw 24%Newcastle United win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Newcastle United win 44%Draw 24%Manchester United win 32%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Newcastle United win 52%Draw 26%Sunderland win 22%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Fulham win 37%Draw 27% (what happened)Newcastle United win 36%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Mon 2 November
Newcastle United win 48%Draw 27%Everton win 25% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Crystal Palace win 35%Draw 26%Newcastle United win 39% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Newcastle United win 44%Draw 25%Aston Villa win 31% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.4
Full timePrediction made