Manchester City win 67%Draw 20%Fulham win 13%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Manchester City (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 3rd
- after 10 played
- Points
- 21
- won 7, drawn 0, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 76
- range 67–86
- Goals
- 21–13
- difference +8
Chances
- Title
- 22%
- 1st
- Top four
- 94%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 97%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 2nd (42%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 22% | Title |
| 2nd | 42% | Top four |
| 3rd | 21% | Top four |
| 4th | 10% | Top four |
| 5th | 4% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Manchester City's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 90.
Title (1st)22% (was 59%)
Top four (1st–4th)94% (was 98%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points76 (was 82)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 22% | 94% | <1% | 76 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 21% | 93% | <1% | 76 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 32% | 96% | <1% | 79 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 33% | 96% | <1% | 79 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 32% | 97% | <1% | 79 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 37% | 96% | <1% | 79 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | 48% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 46% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 59% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 60% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 60% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 64% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 65% | 99% | <1% | 85 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 55% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 57% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Arsenal win 46%Draw 28%Manchester City win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Manchester City win 66%Draw 21%Leeds United win 13%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Brentford win 26%Draw 24%Manchester City win 50%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Nottingham Forest win 19% (what happened)Draw 25%Manchester City win 56%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Manchester City win 60%Draw 22%Brighton & Hove Albion win 18% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Aston Villa win 22% (what happened)Draw 25%Manchester City win 53%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Manchester City win 86% (what happened)Draw 10%Ipswich Town win 4%
Kick-off Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.2–0.7
Full timePrediction made