Aston Villa win 22%Draw 24%Manchester City win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Manchester City (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 1st
- after 7 played
- Points
- 21
- won 7, drawn 0, lost 0
- Proj. pts
- 84
- range 74–94
- Goals
- 19–7
- difference +12
Chances
- Title
- 58%
- 1st
- Top four
- 99%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- >99%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 1st (58%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 75%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 58% | Title |
| 2nd | 31% | Top four |
| 3rd | 8% | Top four |
| 4th | 2% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Manchester City's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 80 to 90.
Title (1st)58% (was 59%)
Top four (1st–4th)99% (was 98%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points84 (was 82)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 58% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 60% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 64% | 99% | <1% | 84 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | 65% | 99% | <1% | 85 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 55% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 57% | 98% | <1% | 82 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sat 31 October
Manchester City win 60%Draw 22%Brighton & Hove Albion win 18%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Nottingham Forest win 19%Draw 24%Manchester City win 57%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Manchester City win 86% (what happened)Draw 10%Ipswich Town win 4%
Kick-off Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.2–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Liverpool win 32%Draw 26%Manchester City win 42% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.7
Full timePrediction made