Liverpool win 57%Draw 22%Manchester United win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Manchester United (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 18th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 8
- won 1, drawn 5, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 47
- range 37–57
- Goals
- 14–19
- difference −5
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 2%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 4%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 35%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 8%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 12th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 2% | Top five |
| 6th | 4% | |
| 7th | 5% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 10% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 7% | |
| 17th | 6% | |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
| 19th | 3% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Manchester United's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)2% (was 12%)
Relegation (18th–20th)8% (was 2%)
Projected points47 (was 54)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 2% | 8% | 47 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 2% | 8% | 48 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 48 |
| 31 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 4% | 5% | 50 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 9% | 3% | 53 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 9% | 3% | 53 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 8% | 3% | 52 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 8% | 3% | 52 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 10% | 3% | 53 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 11% | 3% | 53 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 9% | 3% | 53 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 12% | 2% | 54 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sat 28 November
Manchester United win 42%Draw 25%Brentford win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Wed 2 December
Newcastle United win 44%Draw 24%Manchester United win 32%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Manchester United win 64%Draw 20%Coventry City win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Manchester United win 42%Draw 26% (what happened)Aston Villa win 32%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Chelsea win 46% (what happened)Draw 25%Manchester United win 29%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Manchester United win 48%Draw 25%Bournemouth win 27% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Leeds United win 36%Draw 27% (what happened)Manchester United win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made