Hull City win 27%Draw 27%Brentford win 46%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 6th (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 4% | Top four |
| 4th | 8% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 13% | |
| 7th | 11% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 6% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 4% | |
| 14th | 3% | |
| 15th | 3% | |
| 16th | 2% | |
| 17th | 1% | |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Brentford's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)13% (was 22%)
Relegation (18th–20th)1% (was 1%)
Projected points55 (was 58)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 13% | 1% | 55 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 13% | 2% | 55 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 14% | 1% | 55 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 21% | 1% | 57 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 19% | 1% | 57 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 22% | 1% | 58 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Hull City win 27%Draw 27%Brentford win 46%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Brentford win 48%Draw 26%Nottingham Forest win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Brighton & Hove Albion win 48%Draw 25%Brentford win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Brentford win 35%Draw 25%Liverpool win 40% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Aston Villa win 41%Draw 26% (what happened)Brentford win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
Full timePrediction made