Hull City win 27%Draw 27%Brentford win 46%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 19th (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 6% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 10% | |
| 18th | 13% | Relegation |
| 19th | 13% | Relegation |
| 20th | 11% | Relegation |
Hull City's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)36% (was 36%)
Projected points40 (was 40)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 40 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 35% | 40 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 40 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 30% | 42 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 35% | 40 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 36% | 40 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Hull City win 27%Draw 27%Brentford win 46%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Hull City win 48%Draw 27%Ipswich Town win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Arsenal win 74%Draw 18%Hull City win 8%
Most likely 2–0 (15%)Expected goals 2.2–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fulham win 48% (what happened)Draw 28%Hull City win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Hull City win 29%Draw 32% (what happened)Everton win 39%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (15%)Expected goals 1.0–1.1
Full timePrediction made