Arsenal win 65%Draw 24%Everton win 11%
Most likely 1–0 (16%)Expected goals 1.8–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Everton (your team)
Premier League 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 8th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 10
- won 2, drawn 4, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 48
- range 38–58
- Goals
- 8–7
- difference +1
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 2%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 5%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 38%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- 8%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 11th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 2% | Top four |
| 5th | 3% | Top five |
| 6th | 4% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 8% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 8% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 7% | |
| 17th | 5% | |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
| 19th | 3% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Everton's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)2% (was 6%)
Relegation (18th–20th)8% (was 4%)
Projected points48 (was 51)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 48 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 48 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 3% | 9% | 48 |
| 17 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 5% | 6% | 50 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 5% | 4% | 51 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 6% | 4% | 50 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Mon 2 November
Newcastle United win 47%Draw 27%Everton win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fri 6 November
Everton win 54%Draw 27%Coventry City win 19%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Everton win 34%Draw 28%Chelsea win 38% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Hull City win 29%Draw 32% (what happened)Everton win 39%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (15%)Expected goals 1.0–1.1
Full timePrediction made