Lazio win 64%Draw 23%Lecce win 13%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 4th (20%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5% | Title |
| 2nd | 13% | Top four |
| 3rd | 20% | Top four |
| 4th | 20% | Top four |
| 5th | 17% | Top five |
| 6th | 12% | |
| 7th | 7% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Lazio's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 80.
Title (1st)5% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)57% (was 21%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points72 (was 62)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 5% | 57% | <1% | 72 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 6% | 56% | <1% | 72 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 7% | 57% | <1% | 72 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 6% | 57% | <1% | 72 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 6% | 55% | <1% | 71 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 5% | 51% | <1% | 71 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | 5% | 55% | <1% | 71 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | 4% | 54% | <1% | 71 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | 5% | 52% | <1% | 71 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | 3% | 42% | <1% | 68 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 4% | 44% | <1% | 68 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 3% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 3% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 27% | <1% | 64 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 1% | 25% | <1% | 63 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 2% | 26% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 27% | <1% | 64 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 21% | <1% | 62 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 22% | <1% | 62 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lazio win 64%Draw 23%Lecce win 13%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Torino win 25%Draw 26%Lazio win 49%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lazio win 40%Draw 26%Atalanta win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Napoli win 45%Draw 27% (what happened)Lazio win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Lazio win 58% (what happened)Draw 24%Cagliari win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.7–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Sassuolo win 27%Draw 25%Lazio win 48% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Lazio win 58% (what happened)Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Juventus win 48%Draw 28%Lazio win 24% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.4–0.9
Full timePrediction made