Lazio win 58%Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 5th (15%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3% | Title |
| 2nd | 9% | Top four |
| 3rd | 14% | Top four |
| 4th | 14% | Top four |
| 5th | 15% | Top five |
| 6th | 15% | |
| 7th | 12% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 5% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Lazio's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)3% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)40% (was 21%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points67 (was 62)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 3% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 27% | <1% | 64 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 1% | 25% | <1% | 63 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 2% | 26% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 27% | <1% | 64 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 21% | <1% | 62 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 22% | <1% | 62 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lazio win 58%Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sassuolo win 28%Draw 25%Lazio win 47%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lazio win 55%Draw 26%Cagliari win 19%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.6–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Napoli win 46%Draw 28%Lazio win 26%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Juventus win 48%Draw 28%Lazio win 24% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.4–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Lazio win 63% (what happened)Draw 22%Monza win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.9–0.8
Full timePrediction made