Atalanta win 64%Draw 20%Frosinone win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 8% | |
| 10th | 11% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 11% | |
| 13th | 10% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 6% | |
| 17th | 6% | |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
| 19th | 3% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Frosinone's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)8% (was 11%)
Projected points46 (was 45)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 46 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 9% | 46 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 9% | 46 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 9% | 46 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 16% | 43 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 15% | 43 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 16% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 11% | 45 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Atalanta win 64%Draw 20%Frosinone win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Frosinone win 45%Draw 28%Lecce win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Frosinone win 36%Draw 26%Torino win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Cagliari win 41%Draw 26%Frosinone win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Frosinone win 33% (what happened)Draw 25%Sassuolo win 42%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Napoli win 66% (what happened)Draw 21%Frosinone win 13%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.0–0.8
Full timePrediction made