Lecce win 16%Draw 26%Juventus win 58%
Most likely 0–1 (17%)Expected goals 0.7–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 18th (14%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 7% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 11% | |
| 16th | 11% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 14% | Relegation |
| 19th | 13% | Relegation |
| 20th | 8% | Relegation |
Lecce's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)35% (was 45%)
Projected points38 (was 35)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 38 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 32% | 38 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 50% | 34 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 47% | 34 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 48% | 34 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 48% | 34 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 44% | 35 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 44% | 35 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lecce win 16%Draw 26%Juventus win 58%
Most likely 0–1 (17%)Expected goals 0.7–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Frosinone win 45%Draw 28%Lecce win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lecce win 31%Draw 31%Genoa win 38%
Most likely 0–1 (14%)Expected goals 0.9–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Torino win 48%Draw 29%Lecce win 23%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.3–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Udinese win 50%Draw 28%Lecce win 22% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.4–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Lecce win 22%Draw 29%Bologna win 49% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (16%)Expected goals 0.8–1.3
Full timePrediction made