Genoa win 48%Draw 27%Venezia win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 17th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 5% | |
| 12th | 7% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 10% | |
| 15th | 11% | |
| 16th | 11% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 11% | Relegation |
| 19th | 10% | Relegation |
| 20th | 7% | Relegation |
Genoa's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)28% (was 32%)
Projected points39 (was 38)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 39 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 39 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 39 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 20% | 40 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 20% | 40 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 22% | 40 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 31% | 38 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Genoa win 48%Draw 27%Venezia win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Genoa win 20%Draw 27%Juventus win 53%
Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.8–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lecce win 31%Draw 31%Genoa win 38%
Most likely 0–1 (14%)Expected goals 0.9–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Genoa win 21%Draw 26%AC Milan win 53%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.9–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Roma win 65% (what happened)Draw 22%Genoa win 13%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Genoa win 32% (what happened)Draw 28%Fiorentina win 40%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
Full timePrediction made