Cagliari win 29%Draw 28%Bologna win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 9th (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 2% | Top five |
| 6th | 3% | |
| 7th | 5% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 13% | |
| 10th | 13% | |
| 11th | 13% | |
| 12th | 10% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 6% | |
| 16th | 4% | |
| 17th | 3% | |
| 18th | 2% | Relegation |
| 19th | 1% | Relegation |
| 20th | 1% | Relegation |
Bologna's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)3% (was 4%)
Projected points49 (was 49)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 3% | 49 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 3% | 49 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 2% | 3% | 51 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 2% | 50 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 2% | 2% | 50 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Cagliari win 29%Draw 28%Bologna win 43%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
AC Milan win 51%Draw 25%Bologna win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bologna win 58%Draw 23%Monza win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Parma win 24%Draw 29%Bologna win 47%
Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.9–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Bologna win 19%Draw 22%Inter Milan win 59% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.1–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Lecce win 22%Draw 29%Bologna win 49% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (16%)Expected goals 0.8–1.3
Full timePrediction made