Inter Milan win 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 11% | |
| 13th | 10% | |
| 14th | 11% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 8% | |
| 18th | 5% | Relegation |
| 19th | 4% | Relegation |
| 20th | 2% | Relegation |
Fiorentina's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)12% (was 5%)
Projected points44 (was 48)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 12% | 44 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 11% | 44 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 46 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 46 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 7% | 46 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 46 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 46 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 6% | 48 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Inter Milan win 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fiorentina win 27%Draw 25%Atalanta win 48%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sassuolo win 37%Draw 25%Fiorentina win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fiorentina win 26%Draw 26%Juventus win 48%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fiorentina win 25%Draw 26%Como win 49% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Genoa win 32% (what happened)Draw 28%Fiorentina win 40%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
Full timePrediction made