Inter Milan win 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 1st (71%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 75%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 71% | Title |
| 2nd | 18% | Top four |
| 3rd | 6% | Top four |
| 4th | 3% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Inter Milan's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 80 to 90.
Title (1st)71% (was 62%)
Top four (1st–4th)98% (was 95%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points85 (was 83)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 71% | 98% | <1% | 85 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 70% | 98% | <1% | 86 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 71% | 98% | <1% | 85 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 67% | 96% | <1% | 84 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 67% | 97% | <1% | 84 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 67% | 96% | <1% | 84 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 65% | 96% | <1% | 84 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 62% | 95% | <1% | 83 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Inter Milan win 73%Draw 16%Fiorentina win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Venezia win 8%Draw 13%Inter Milan win 79%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)Expected goals 0.8–2.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
AC Milan win 27%Draw 24%Inter Milan win 49%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Inter Milan win 53%Draw 23%Como win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Bologna win 19%Draw 22%Inter Milan win 59% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.1–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Inter Milan win 77% (what happened)Draw 15%Parma win 8%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.4–0.7
Full timePrediction made