Torino win 50%Draw 25%Monza win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 19th (16%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 3% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 11% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 14% | Relegation |
| 19th | 16% | Relegation |
| 20th | 14% | Relegation |
Monza's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)45% (was 57%)
Projected points36 (was 33)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 45% | 36 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 63% | 32 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 58% | 33 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 57% | 33 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Torino win 50%Draw 25%Monza win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Monza win 15%Draw 22%Napoli win 63%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.8–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bologna win 58%Draw 23%Monza win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Monza win 17%Draw 21%Atalanta win 62%
Most likely 0–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.0–2.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Monza win 30% (what happened)Draw 27%Cagliari win 43%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Lazio win 63% (what happened)Draw 22%Monza win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.9–0.8
Full timePrediction made