Monza win 27%Draw 23%Fiorentina win 50%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 20th (26%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 2% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 4% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 10% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 16% | Relegation |
| 19th | 19% | Relegation |
| 20th | 26% | Relegation |
Monza's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)61% (was 57%)
Projected points32 (was 33)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 61% | 32 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 56% | 32 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 57% | 33 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 58% | 32 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 54% | 32 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 57% | 32 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | <1% | <1% | 51% | 33 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | <1% | <1% | 56% | 33 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | <1% | <1% | 48% | 35 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 49% | 34 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 50% | 34 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 51% | 35 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 45% | 36 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 63% | 32 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 62% | 32 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 58% | 33 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 57% | 33 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Monza win 27%Draw 23%Fiorentina win 50%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Roma win 76%Draw 15%Monza win 9%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.6–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Monza win 15%Draw 20%Como win 65%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–2.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Monza win 19%Draw 20%Atalanta win 61% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.1–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Bologna win 61% (what happened)Draw 21%Monza win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Monza win 15%Draw 21%Napoli win 64% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Torino win 50% (what happened)Draw 25%Monza win 25%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Monza win 30% (what happened)Draw 27%Cagliari win 43%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.4
Full timePrediction made