Napoli win 35%Draw 29%Roma win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 5th (15%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1% | Title |
| 2nd | 6% | Top four |
| 3rd | 11% | Top four |
| 4th | 14% | Top four |
| 5th | 15% | Top five |
| 6th | 14% | |
| 7th | 14% | |
| 8th | 11% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Napoli's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)1% (was 3%)
Top four (1st–4th)32% (was 39%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points65 (was 66)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 1% | 32% | <1% | 65 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 31% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 32% | <1% | 65 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 4% | 44% | <1% | 68 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 3% | 38% | <1% | 66 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Napoli win 35%Draw 29%Roma win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Monza win 15%Draw 22%Napoli win 63%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.8–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Juventus win 37%Draw 30%Napoli win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Napoli win 46%Draw 28%Lazio win 26%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Venezia win 13% (what happened)Draw 20%Napoli win 67%
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Napoli win 66% (what happened)Draw 21%Frosinone win 13%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.0–0.8
Full timePrediction made