Napoli win 60%Draw 23%Torino win 17%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 7th (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 2% | Top four |
| 3rd | 6% | Top four |
| 4th | 10% | Top four |
| 5th | 14% | Top five |
| 6th | 18% | |
| 7th | 18% | |
| 8th | 13% | |
| 9th | 8% | |
| 10th | 5% | |
| 11th | 3% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Napoli's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)<1% (was 3%)
Top four (1st–4th)19% (was 39%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points64 (was 66)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 19% | <1% | 64 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 1% | 20% | <1% | 64 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 1% | 21% | <1% | 64 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 1% | 21% | <1% | 64 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 1% | 21% | <1% | 64 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 1% | 31% | <1% | 66 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | 1% | 32% | <1% | 66 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | 1% | 33% | <1% | 66 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | 1% | 24% | <1% | 65 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | 1% | 26% | <1% | 64 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 1% | 28% | <1% | 65 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 1% | 31% | <1% | 65 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 1% | 31% | <1% | 65 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 31% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 32% | <1% | 65 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 4% | 44% | <1% | 68 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 3% | 38% | <1% | 66 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Napoli win 60%Draw 23%Torino win 17%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sassuolo win 19%Draw 22%Napoli win 59%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.0–2.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Napoli win 68%Draw 21%Lecce win 11%
Most likely 1–0 (16%)Expected goals 1.9–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Napoli win 45%Draw 27% (what happened)Lazio win 28%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Juventus win 36% (what happened)Draw 29%Napoli win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Monza win 15%Draw 21%Napoli win 64% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Napoli win 34%Draw 30% (what happened)Roma win 36%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Venezia win 13% (what happened)Draw 20%Napoli win 67%
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–2.0
Full timePrediction made