Atalanta win 25%Draw 22%Inter Milan win 53%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.3–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 8th (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 3% | Top four |
| 5th | 5% | Top five |
| 6th | 9% | |
| 7th | 14% | |
| 8th | 18% | |
| 9th | 17% | |
| 10th | 12% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 5% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | 1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Atalanta's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)<1% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)5% (was 24%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points57 (was 63)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 5% | <1% | 57 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 4% | <1% | 56 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 4% | <1% | 56 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | 4% | <1% | 56 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 8% | <1% | 60 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 9% | <1% | 59 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | <1% | 10% | <1% | 59 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | <1% | 12% | <1% | 60 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | <1% | 11% | <1% | 60 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 13% | <1% | 60 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 1% | 18% | <1% | 62 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 1% | 20% | <1% | 62 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 1% | 20% | <1% | 62 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 20% | <1% | 62 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 28% | <1% | 64 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 27% | <1% | 64 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 2% | 26% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 1% | 24% | <1% | 63 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 24% | <1% | 63 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 24% | <1% | 63 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Atalanta win 25%Draw 22%Inter Milan win 53%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.3–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lecce win 17%Draw 24%Atalanta win 59%
Most likely 0–1 (14%)Expected goals 0.8–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lazio win 40%Draw 26%Atalanta win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Monza win 19%Draw 20%Atalanta win 61% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.1–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Atalanta win 63%Draw 23%Parma win 14% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Fiorentina win 28%Draw 25% (what happened)Atalanta win 47%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.2–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Atalanta win 64%Draw 20% (what happened)Frosinone win 16%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.0
Full timePrediction made
AC Milan win 40% (what happened)Draw 27%Atalanta win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made