Como win 64%Draw 22%Cagliari win 14%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (14%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 10% | |
| 11th | 13% | |
| 12th | 14% | |
| 13th | 14% | |
| 14th | 12% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 7% | |
| 17th | 5% | |
| 18th | 3% | Relegation |
| 19th | 2% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Cagliari's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 2%)
Relegation (18th–20th)5% (was 3%)
Projected points45 (was 50)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 5% | 45 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 5% | 45 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 9% | 43 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 9% | 43 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 8% | 43 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 7% | 44 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | <1% | <1% | 7% | 44 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | <1% | <1% | 8% | 44 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | <1% | <1% | 8% | 44 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 8% | 45 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 8% | 45 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 47 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 47 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 2% | 3% | 50 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 3% | 50 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 2% | 2% | 50 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | 2% | 2% | 51 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 2% | 2% | 50 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 3% | 50 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 3% | 50 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Como win 64%Draw 22%Cagliari win 14%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Cagliari win 20%Draw 24%AC Milan win 56%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fiorentina win 50%Draw 25%Cagliari win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Cagliari win 35% (what happened)Draw 25%Frosinone win 40%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Lazio win 58% (what happened)Draw 24%Cagliari win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (13%)Expected goals 1.7–0.8
Full timePrediction made
Roma win 67% (what happened)Draw 21%Cagliari win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Cagliari win 29%Draw 28%Bologna win 43% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Monza win 30% (what happened)Draw 27%Cagliari win 43%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.1–1.4
Full timePrediction made