Como win 63%Draw 21%Sassuolo win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 3rd (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 5% | Title |
| 2nd | 14% | Top four |
| 3rd | 18% | Top four |
| 4th | 17% | Top four |
| 5th | 14% | Top five |
| 6th | 12% | |
| 7th | 9% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 4% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Como's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)5% (was 5%)
Top four (1st–4th)53% (was 48%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points69 (was 68)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 5% | 53% | <1% | 69 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 5% | 54% | <1% | 70 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 4% | 47% | <1% | 68 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 5% | 46% | <1% | 68 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 5% | 46% | <1% | 68 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 5% | 46% | <1% | 68 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 5% | 47% | <1% | 68 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 5% | 47% | <1% | 68 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Como win 63%Draw 21%Sassuolo win 16%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Torino win 22%Draw 25%Como win 53%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Como win 73%Draw 17%Venezia win 10%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.3–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Inter Milan win 53%Draw 23%Como win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fiorentina win 25%Draw 26%Como win 49% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Como win 36%Draw 27% (what happened)Roma win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.2
Full timePrediction made