Lazio win 58%Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 20th (20%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 3% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 5% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 9% | |
| 17th | 12% | |
| 18th | 16% | Relegation |
| 19th | 18% | Relegation |
| 20th | 20% | Relegation |
Parma's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (18th–20th)53% (was 32%)
Projected points34 (was 38)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | <1% | <1% | 53% | 34 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 38% | 37 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 37 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 37 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | <1% | <1% | 34% | 37 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 37 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 37 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 32% | 38 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lazio win 58%Draw 26%Parma win 16%
Most likely 1–0 (17%)Expected goals 1.6–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Parma win 31%Draw 30%Udinese win 39%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.0–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Atalanta win 64%Draw 23%Parma win 13%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Parma win 24%Draw 29%Bologna win 47%
Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.9–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Parma win 33%Draw 30%Torino win 37% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.0–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Inter Milan win 77% (what happened)Draw 15%Parma win 8%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.4–0.7
Full timePrediction made