Parma win 14%Draw 23%Roma win 63%
Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.7–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 2nd (36%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 21% | Title |
| 2nd | 36% | Top four |
| 3rd | 20% | Top four |
| 4th | 11% | Top four |
| 5th | 6% | Top five |
| 6th | 3% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Roma's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 80.
Title (1st)21% (was 17%)
Top four (1st–4th)88% (was 77%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points79 (was 75)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 21% | 88% | <1% | 79 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 23% | 88% | <1% | 79 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 20% | 84% | <1% | 78 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 20% | 84% | <1% | 78 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 20% | 84% | <1% | 78 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 21% | 84% | <1% | 78 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | 14% | 81% | <1% | 76 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | 14% | 82% | <1% | 77 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | 14% | 79% | <1% | 76 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | 13% | 78% | <1% | 75 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 14% | 80% | <1% | 76 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 16% | 82% | <1% | 76 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 16% | 81% | <1% | 76 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 16% | 81% | <1% | 76 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 16% | 82% | <1% | 76 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 16% | 77% | <1% | 75 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 15% | 76% | <1% | 75 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 15% | 77% | <1% | 75 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 16% | 76% | <1% | 75 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 18% | 77% | <1% | 75 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Parma win 14%Draw 23%Roma win 63%
Most likely 0–1 (15%)Expected goals 0.7–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Roma win 76%Draw 15%Monza win 9%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.6–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bologna win 25%Draw 26%Roma win 49%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Roma win 71% (what happened)Draw 17%Sassuolo win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Udinese win 17%Draw 24%Roma win 59% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.9–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Roma win 67% (what happened)Draw 21%Cagliari win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Napoli win 34%Draw 30% (what happened)Roma win 36%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Roma win 65% (what happened)Draw 22%Genoa win 13%
Kick-off Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.9–0.7
Full timePrediction made