Udinese win 23%Draw 25%AC Milan win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 19 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 4th (16%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3% | Title |
| 2nd | 10% | Top four |
| 3rd | 15% | Top four |
| 4th | 16% | Top four |
| 5th | 15% | Top five |
| 6th | 13% | |
| 7th | 11% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 4% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
AC Milan's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)3% (was 4%)
Top four (1st–4th)44% (was 41%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points68 (was 67)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 19 Oct | 3% | 44% | <1% | 68 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 3% | 43% | <1% | 68 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 2% | 37% | <1% | 66 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | 66 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | 66 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 36% | <1% | 66 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 3% | 39% | <1% | 67 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 4% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Udinese win 23%Draw 25%AC Milan win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
AC Milan win 51%Draw 25%Bologna win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
AC Milan win 27%Draw 24%Inter Milan win 49%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Genoa win 21%Draw 26%AC Milan win 53%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.9–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
AC Milan win 40% (what happened)Draw 27%Atalanta win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sassuolo win 24%Draw 24% (what happened)AC Milan win 52%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.8
Full timePrediction made