AC Milan win 62%Draw 20%Frosinone win 18%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
AC Milan (your team)
Serie A 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 4th
- after 11 played
- Points
- 24
- won 7, drawn 3, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 70
- range 61–80
- Goals
- 23–13
- difference +10
Chances
- Title
- 3%
- 1st
- Top four
- 50%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 68%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 99%
- 1st–10th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 18th–20th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 4th (19%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Relegation (18th–20th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3% | Title |
| 2nd | 11% | Top four |
| 3rd | 17% | Top four |
| 4th | 19% | Top four |
| 5th | 18% | Top five |
| 6th | 13% | |
| 7th | 8% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | |
| 17th | <1% | |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
| 19th | <1% | Relegation |
| 20th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
AC Milan's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 60 to 80.
Title (1st)3% (was 4%)
Top four (1st–4th)50% (was 41%)
Relegation (18th–20th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points70 (was 67)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 3% | 50% | <1% | 70 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 3% | 42% | <1% | 69 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 3% | 43% | <1% | 69 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 3% | 43% | <1% | 69 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 3% | 44% | <1% | 69 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 3% | 45% | <1% | 69 |
| 31 Oct | 29 Oct | 1% | 34% | <1% | 66 |
| 29 Oct | 28 Oct | 2% | 35% | <1% | 67 |
| 28 Oct | 27 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 69 |
| 27 Oct | 25 Oct | 4% | 51% | <1% | 70 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 3% | 43% | <1% | 68 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | 68 |
| 23 Oct | 19 Oct | 3% | 44% | <1% | 67 |
| 19 Oct | 18 Oct | 3% | 43% | <1% | 68 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 2% | 37% | <1% | 66 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | 66 |
| 16 Oct | 12 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | 66 |
| 12 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 36% | <1% | 66 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 3% | 39% | <1% | 67 |
| 10 Oct | 20 Sept | 4% | 40% | <1% | 67 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Mon 30 November
Cagliari win 20%Draw 24%AC Milan win 56%
Most likely 0–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
AC Milan win 62%Draw 23%Parma win 15%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Genoa win 23%Draw 26%AC Milan win 51% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.9–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
AC Milan win 26% (what happened)Draw 24%Inter Milan win 50%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.3–1.8
Full timePrediction made
Wed 28 October
AC Milan win 50%Draw 26%Bologna win 24% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Udinese win 23%Draw 25%AC Milan win 52% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.7
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
AC Milan win 40% (what happened)Draw 27%Atalanta win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made