Marseille win 72%Draw 17%Le Mans win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Marseille (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 4th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 18
- won 6, drawn 0, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 59
- range 50–68
- Goals
- 22–14
- difference +8
Chances
- Title
- 4%
- 1st
- Top four
- 55%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 67%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 94%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 2nd (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4% | Title |
| 2nd | 18% | Top four |
| 3rd | 18% | Top four |
| 4th | 15% | Top four |
| 5th | 12% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 7% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 4% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Marseille's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)4% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)55% (was 21%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points59 (was 52)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 4% | 55% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 2% | 42% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 2% | 43% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 2% | 43% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 2% | 43% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 1% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 1% | 36% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | 2% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | 3% | 36% | <1% | <1% | 56 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 2% | 33% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 2% | 32% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 32% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 1% | 23% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 1% | 21% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 21% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sun 29 November
Auxerre win 25%Draw 23%Marseille win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 6 December
Marseille win 57%Draw 22%Nice win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Lens win 46%Draw 24%Marseille win 30% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Marseille win 55% (what happened)Draw 23%Toulouse win 22%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Marseille win 67% (what happened)Draw 20%Le Havre win 13%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Angers win 20%Draw 25%Marseille win 55% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
Full timePrediction made