Lens win 51%Draw 25%Paris FC win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 6th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2% | Title |
| 2nd | 7% | Top four |
| 3rd | 8% | Top four |
| 4th | 10% | Top four |
| 5th | 10% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 10% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 6% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 2% | |
| 15th | 1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Paris FC's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)2% (was 3%)
Top four (1st–4th)27% (was 30%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points54 (was 54)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 2% | 27% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 2% | 22% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 22% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 51 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 2% | 22% | 1% | 1% | 51 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 4% | 30% | <1% | 1% | 54 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 3% | 29% | <1% | 1% | 54 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lens win 51%Draw 25%Paris FC win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Paris FC win 39%Draw 25%Monaco win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Auxerre win 32%Draw 27%Paris FC win 41%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Paris FC win 42% (what happened)Draw 25%Rennes win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Lorient win 34% (what happened)Draw 27%Paris FC win 39%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.4
Full timePrediction made